基于云理论的大中型水闸工程管理现代化评价  

Evaluation of management modernization of large and medium-sized sluices based on cloud theory

作　　者：高玉琴[1] 陈鸿玉[1] 肖璇[1] 徐津[1] 

机构地区：[1]河海大学水利水电学院,江苏南京210098

出　　处：《水利经济》2017年第2期63-68,共6页Journal of Economics of Water Resources

基　　金：中央高校基金前瞻性项目(2014B05814);国家自然科学基金(51309076);江苏高校优势学科建设工程资助项目(3014-SYS1401)

摘　　要：建立水闸工程管理现代化评价指标体系,全面、客观地评价其进程。基于反映知识表示中模糊性、随机性及两者关联的云理论,提出评价方法并进行实例分析。对某省23个大型、87个中型水闸工程管理单位问卷调查和抽样实地考察,评估确定水闸管理现代化目标值。以某水闸管理情况与目标值相比确定该水闸管理现代化实现程度等级。实例证明此方法应用于水闸管理评价具有适用性、准确性、高效性,其评价结果能够为下阶段管理现代化建设提供导向和依据。An integrated evaluation index system for the management modernization of large and medium-sized sluices is established, which will improve the objectivity and comprehensiveness of evaluation. An evaluation method for management states of sluices is proposed based on the cloud theory,which reflects the randomness,fuzziness of knowledge representation and their correlation,and it is applied to a large sluice. The target values of management modernization of sluices are evaluated and determined through the questionnaire survey and field survey among 23 large and 87 medium-sized sluices in a province. By comparing the actual situations of a sluice case with the target values,the level of modernization realization of the sluice is determined. The case study shows that the proposed method is applicable, effective and efficient in sluice management, and the evaluated results will be in favor of managing further work and improving modernization objective.

关 键 词：水闸管理现代化 评价指标体系 云模型 

分 类 号：TV698.2[水利工程—水利水电工程]