我国财政政策有效地抵御了国际金融危机冲击吗  

Do China's Fiscal Policies Effectively Defeat the Shocks of International Financial Crisis?

作　　者：张佐敏[1] 戴玲[2] 邝雄[1] ZHANG Zuo-min DAI Ling KUANG Xiong(School of Economies and Management, Hainan University, Haikou 570228, China School of Tourism Hainan University, Haikou 570228, China)

机构地区：[1]海南大学经济与管理学院,海南海口570228 [2]海南大学旅游学院,海南海口570228

出　　处：《海南大学学报（人文社会科学版）》2017年第2期66-74,共9页Journal of Hainan University （Humanities & Social Sciences）

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71463013);海南省自然科学基金项目(717032;20167250);海南省教育厅重点项目(HNKY2014-07)

摘　　要：利用动态随机一般均衡模型研究了我国财政政策在国际金融危机时期抵御不利出口冲击方面的作用。研究发现:(1)国际金融危机时期不利出口冲击对我国经济有重要影响;(2)在抵御不利出口冲击方面,财政政策工具按作用由大到小排序依次为间接税率、政府投资和直接税率;(3)财政政策对我国"保增长"和"促就业"目标的实现起了重要作用,然而政府应对不利出口冲击时矫枉过正,造成我国经济更大波动。The model of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium is adopted to study the role that China＇ s fiscal policies play in fighting negative shocks of exports during the international financial crisis. The study shows that （ 1 ） the negative shocks of exports during the international financial crisis have significant impact on Chinese e- conomy. （2） In terms of fighting negative shocks of exports, the tools of fiscal policies can be ordered, accord- ing to their descending functions, as indirect tax rate, government investment and direct tax rate. （3） Fiscal policies play an important role in realizing China＇ s goals of ＂maintaining growth＂ and ＂promoting employment＂ while the government＇ s overcorrection in response to negative shocks of exports lead to greater fluctuation of Chi- nese economy.

关 键 词：国际金融危机 出口冲击 财政政策 

分 类 号：F810[经济管理—财政学]