京津冀协同发展的空间演进历程：基于环境规制视角  

The Spatial Evolution of Coordinated Development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region: From the Perspective of Environmental Regulation

作　　者：史丹[1] 马丽梅[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院工业经济研究所/京津冀协同发展智库,北京100836

出　　处：《当代财经》2017年第4期3-13,共11页Contemporary Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“中国与周边国家电力互联互通战略研究”(13&ZD168);北京市社会科学基金项目“北京自然资源资产负债表编制及其管理研究”(15JGA024);中国博士后科学基金面上项目“经济转型与雾霾污染关系研究:跨国比较与空间计量实证”(2016M591329)

摘　　要：利用京津冀地区北京、天津及河北11个城市的数据,基于环境规制视角,对京津冀协同发展的空间演进特征进行研究。空间相关性分析发现,京津冀地区环境规制直至2010年才呈现显著的空间正相关,协同性才开始显现。京津冀的"中心"呈现出明显的"示范效应",存在"逐顶竞争"的可能,空间效应作用明显。而京津冀的"外围"则呈现"逐底竞争"趋势。进一步地,基于空间杜宾模型的实证研究发现,由于污染溢出效应的存在,淹没了环境规制严格区的"规制收益",本地环境规制的提高并不能起到环境质量改进的作用,而邻近地区整体环境规制的提升才能使本地的环境质量得到改善。因此,实现京津冀地区环境质量的改善,需要增强空间关联,进一步打破行政分割,深化区域协同是区域环境规制整体提升的重要环节。From the perspective of environmental regulation, this paper makes use of the data ofBeijing, Tianjin and 11 cities in Hebei province to study the spatial evolution characteristics of coor- diuated development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. The findings of the spatial correlation analy- sis show that the environmental regulation in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region did not show significant spatial correlation until 2010. And the coordination began to increase from that year. The ＂center＂ of the region presents obvious ＂demonstrative effect＂ , and there is the possibility of ＂race to top＂ with significant spatial effects. However, the ＂periphery＂ of the region shows a trend of ＂race to bottom＂ . Furthermore, the results of the empirical study based on the spatial Durbin model show that the ＂regulatory benefits＂ of the strict environmental regulation area are drown due to the existence of pollution spillover effect, so that the improvement of local environmental regulation can- not improve the environmental quality. Only the improvement of the overall environmental regulation in the vicinity region can improve the quality of the local environment. Therefore, in order to im- prove the environmental quality in that region, it is necessary to enhance the spatial association, break the administrative division, and further deepen the regional cooperation, which is the important link for the improvement of the whole regional environmental regulation.

关 键 词：京津冀协同发展 环境规制 逐底竞争 空间杜宾模型 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]