试析特朗普政府的亚太安全战略布局  

Analysis of the Trump Government's Asia-Pacific Security Strategy

作　　者：蔡鹏鸿[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海国际问题研究院外交政策研究所

出　　处：《学术前沿》2017年第6期24-32,共9页Frontiers

摘　　要：特朗普外交政策和战略思维隐含了很强的"不确定性"。特朗普热衷于军事实力,却常用"悬念"手法隐含真实意图。其做法能否同离岸平衡战略直接挂钩,存在着不确定性,可以说,特朗普政府正在采纳接近于离岸平衡战略的外交安全政策,这将对亚太安全格局产生复杂的影响。对于亚太海上安全战略,特朗普认为美国应建立强大的海上力量,再次成为海上霸主。但对抗冲突绝不是维持美国在东亚霸权的政策选项。在这一点上,特朗普政府的对策困境似乎不是离岸平衡战略理论可以解释的。对于中国而言,解决问题的原则是求同存异、互谅互让,在坚持主权属我的前提下搁置南海因素,妥善管控分歧,推动中美关系持续健康发展。Trump＇s foreign policy and strategic thinking has a strong ＂uncertainty＂, Trump is keen on military strength, but often uses ＂suspense＂ approach to hide his true intentions. Whether the practice can be directly linked to the offshore balance strategy is uncertain, but it can be said that the Trump government is adopting a diplomatic security policy close to the offshore balance strategy, which will have a complex impact on the Asia-Pacific security pattern. For the Asia-Pacific maritime security strategy Trump believes that the US should establish a strong maritime power, and once again become the sea overlord. But creating confrontational conflicts is by no means a policy option for maintaining the US hegemony in East Asia. At this point, the Trump government＇s dilemma does not seem to be explained with the theory of offshore balance strategy For China, the principle of solving the problem is to seek common ground while reserving differences and adhere to nmtual understanding and mutual accommodation, set aside the South China Sea issue under the condition that its sovereignty belongs to China, properly control differences, and oromote the sustained and healthy development of Sino-US relations.

关 键 词：特朗普政府 亚太海上安全 战略 中美 

分 类 号：D815[政治法律—国际关系]