海冰灾害损失链构建与间接经济损失评估  

Study about construction of sea ice disaster loss chain and assessment of indirect economic losses

作　　者：潘艳艳[1] 赵昕[1] 崔晓丽[1] PAN Yan-yan ZHAO Xin CUI Xiao-li(College of Economy, Ocean University of China, Shandong Qingdao 266100, China)

机构地区：[1]中国海洋大学经济学院,山东青岛266003

出　　处：《中国渔业经济》2017年第1期95-99,共5页Chinese Fisheries Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目"突发性海洋灾害恢复力评估及市场化提升路径研究"(15ZDB171)的资助

摘　　要：本文基于灾害链的定义,结合历年我国海冰灾害灾情特征,提取了海冰灾害链。基于产业关联效应,从海洋产业本身与关联产业两个层面,按照主要海洋产业经济损失、相关海洋产业间接经济损失和国民经济各产业间接经济损失三个层次构建海冰灾害致灾损失链。在此基础上,结合投入产出法,对于海冰灾害对国民经济各产业部门造成的间接经济损失进行测算。This paper extracts sea ice disaster chain in China according to the definition of disaster chain and combining with the disaster characteristics of sea ice disaster.Based on industrial linkage effects sea ice disaster loss chain is constructed from two levels of marine industry itself and related industry.And the two levels include three aspects which are the main marine industrial economic loss,indirect economic loss of related marine industries and indirect economic losses of industries of national economy.Then industries indirect economic loss of national economy caused by sea ice disaster is calculated using the input-output method.

关 键 词：海冰灾害 海洋产业 灾害链 投入产出表法 间接损失 

分 类 号：F326.410[经济管理—产业经济]