基于分级多层黑板模型的钻井风险管理系统研究  

Research on Drilling Risk Management System Based on a Multi-level and Multi-Hierarchical Blackboard Model

作　　者：刘永爱[1] 鞠炼 王红红[2] LIU Yongai JULian WANG Honghong(Institute of Oil and Gas Resources Economic Evaluation, Xi＇an Shiyou University,Xi＇an Shaanxi ,710065, China Pipeline Engineering Company,Energy Development Incorporated Corporation of CNOOC, Tianjin ,300452, China)

机构地区：[1]西安石油大学油气资源经济评价研究所,陕西西安710065 [2]中海油能源发展股份有限公司管道工程公司,天津300452

出　　处：《西安石油大学学报（社会科学版）》2017年第2期37-41,79,共6页Journal of Xi’an Shiyou University:Social Science Edition

基　　金：陕西高校油气资源经济管理研究中心项目(11JZ024)

摘　　要：在阐述了钻井风险管理和黑板模型理论的基础上,给出了全过程钻井风险管理系统的工作流程,然后利用多级分层黑板模型构建了钻井风险管理系统的框架结构,以此实现对风险信息的分级分层处理,并有效地解决钻井过程中出现的一些复杂的、不确定性风险因素,进而达到对钻井风险的科学化管理。Based on the explanation of drilling risk management and Blackboard Model Theory, the work- flow of the whole process drilling risk management system is given. Then multi - level and multi hierarchical blackboard model is applied to the frame structure construction of drilling risk management system, so as to re- alize multi -level and multi hierarchical treatment, effectively solve some complex and uncertain risk factors in the drilling process, and finally reach the goal of scientific management for drilling risks.

关 键 词：分级多层 黑板模型 钻井风险 知识源 信息融合 

分 类 号：TE928[石油与天然气工程—石油机械设备]