服务业进口贸易和FDI对就业的影响效应研究——世界30国的实证检验  

Research on Employment Effect of Import Trade and FDI in Services——Empirical Inspection of Thirty Countries in the World

作　　者：王春艳[1] 程健 代玉簪[3] WANG Chun-yan Cheng Jian DAI Yu-zan(School of Management, Xi＇an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi＇an Shaanxi 710055, China China Export and Credit Insurance Corporation, Beijing 100033, China School of International Trade and Economics, University of International Business and Economics, Beijing 100029, China)

机构地区：[1]西安建筑科技大学管理学院,陕西西安710055 [2]中国出口信用保险公司,北京100033 [3]对外经济贸易大学金融学院,北京100029

出　　处：《技术经济与管理研究》2017年第4期24-28,共5页Journal of Technical Economics & Management

基　　金：陕西省社会科学基金面向"十三五"重大理论与现实问题研究项目(2016ZDA04);西安建筑科技大学人才科技基金项目(RC1614);西安建筑科技大学青年科技基金项目(QN1632)

摘　　要：进入2l世纪以来,进口贸易和实际利用外资对一国经济和贸易的作用得到普遍认可。世界30国的服务业进口贸易和就业不断增加,两者的增长率变化类似,而实际利用外资有增有减,其增长率正负波动较大。服务业进口贸易和实际利用外资对就业具有显著的正向影响,同时发现一国人口数和最终消费支出对就业具有显著的正向影响。研究2008-2009年的金融危机发现,服务业进口贸易和实际利用外资对就业的正向作用并未受到影响。研究指出:为创造新的就业,需要大力发展服务业和服务贸易,扩大外资引进并合理利用外资。Since 21 century, it is been widely recognized on the role of country＇s import trade and FDI to enhance country＇s econ- omy and trade. Import trade and employment in services have increasing for the world＇s 30 countries, and their rate of increase have the similar changes, then FDI has positive and negative and its rate has larger positive and negative fluctuation. The empirical analysis sh- ows that import trade in services and FDI have significant positive impact on employment, and shows that number of population and final consumption expenditure have significant positive impact on employment. Considering financial crisis between 2008 and 2009, it finds that crisis has no change on positive relation between import trade and FDI to employment. In order to create new jobs, it is necessary to develop service industry and service trade, and broaden and utilize FDI.

关 键 词：进口份额 实际利用外资 劳务贸易 金融危机 

分 类 号：F249.2[经济管理—劳动经济]