旅游业对经济增长的贡献研究评述  

A Review of Research on the Contribution of Tourism to Economic Growth

作　　者：刘民坤[1,2] 蒋丽玲[1] 

机构地区：[1]广西大学商学院旅游管理系,广西南宁530004 [2]广西大学旅游科学研究中心,广西南宁530004

出　　处：《旅游学刊》2017年第4期33-42,共10页Tourism Tribune

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71363008);国家旅游局课题(TYETP201334-2)资助~~

摘　　要：为进一步探索旅游业的作用及其经济影响,文章对CNKI中1989—2014年的文献进行了检索、筛选,就旅游业对经济增长的贡献研究,从研究指标的选取和研究方法的运用两个方面进行了研究评述。研究发现:在研究指标选取上,旅游收入、旅游消费、支柱产业的贡献标准等获得普遍认可,所用频率较高;在研究方法上,大部分定量研究采用了投入产出分析或旅游卫星账户,而可计算的一般均衡模型在近几年的运用中崭露头角。研究指标选取存在解释缺失或解释过于简单的问题,而投入产出分析、旅游卫星账户、CGE模型都是基于内在假设的前提下进行模型构建,是对现实问题的简化,存在局限;在具体操作过程中,3种测算方法对数据的要求极高,现行的统计制度尚无法满足要求。在后续研究过程中,旅游基础理论和相关概念界定、旅游数据统计、指标选择的原因解释、建模方式、研究方法和研究工具的选择以及动态CGE模型的研究等几大问题仍需引起广大学者的高度重视。In order to further explore the role of tourism and its economic impact, this paper selects and investigates CNKI publications from 1989 to 2014, and undertakes a study and a review on the contribution of tourism to economic growth regarding two aspects, i.e., the selection of research indicators and the application of research methods. The results show that tourism income, tourism consumption and the contribution standard of pillar industries are generally accepted in the selection of research indicators, and are frequently used; and in terms of research methods, most of the quantitative studies adopt those of input-output analysis or tourism satellite account, and meanwhile, in recent years, the computable general equilibrium model has also emerged. Undoubtedly, China has made substantial progress in exploring the contribution of tourism to economic growth in recent years, but many issues still remain. For example, in the selection of indicators, few scholars explain or demonstrate the reason underlying their selection. It has not been found in the research that the choice of any indicator （s） is more appropriate than that of any other in assessing the economic contribution of tourism. Consequently, the scientific nature of the research indicators selected by scholars is questionable, and thus the accuracy and reliability of their research results are unconvincing to some extent. In addition, although the existing tourism statistical system theoretically includes the tourism consumption of residents or tourists before and after touristic activities, the actual research rarely values the statistical data of these two parts. It often only uses tourism consumption in tourism activities to assess its contribution to economic growth, which objectively underestimates the role of tourism consumption in promoting economic growth. Furthermore, input-output analysis, tourism satellite account, or the CGE model all build models under the premise of internal assumptions, which simplify real problems and display limita

关 键 词：旅游业 经济贡献 投入产出分析 旅游卫星账户 可计算的一般均衡模型 

分 类 号：F592[经济管理—旅游管理] F124.1[经济管理—产业经济]