劳动力成本上升是否推动了产业升级——基于中国工业断点回归设计的经验证据  

Whether the Rise in Labor Costs Pushed The Industry to Upgrade——The Empirical Evidence Based on China's Industry with a Regression-Discontinuity

作　　者：席建成[1] 孙早[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学经济与金融学院,陕西西安710061

出　　处：《山西财经大学学报》2017年第5期39-53,共15页Journal of Shanxi University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划(NCET-11-0429);国家社会科学基金青年项目(15CJL028;15CJY079);国家自然科学基金青年项目(71503198)

摘　　要：以《劳动合同法》的实施作为工具变量,在模糊断点回归设计框架下运用参数和非参数估计方法,检验了劳动力成本上升对产业升级的作用。研究发现,劳动力成本上升客观上助推了中国工业的转型升级;相对于资本密集型产业,劳动力成本上升对劳动密集型产业的促进作用更为明显;因高技能劳动力供给能力和产业结构的异质性,劳动力成本上升对产业升级的影响在不同地区具有显著的差异。Take the implementation of labor contract law as a tool variable, this paper tests the impact on industrial upgrading us- ing parametric and non parametric estimation method in a fuzzy Regression-discontinuity design when the labor costs rising. The em- pirical study found that the rise in labor costs has objectively promoted the transformation and upgrading of China＇s industry; Com- pared to the capital intensive industry, the effect is more obvious on the labor intensive industry; because of the difference on high skilled labor supply capability and industrial structure, there have been different effect in different regions where the industry is affect- ed by the rise on labor costs.

关 键 词：劳动力成本上升 产业升级 断点回归设计 

分 类 号：F426[经济管理—产业经济]