供给侧改革下大宗商品价格走势展望  

The Outlook for Trend of Commodities Price under Supply Side Reform

作　　者：常清[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学期货与金融衍生品研究中心

出　　处：《价格理论与实践》2017年第2期30-31,共2页Price:Theory & Practice

摘　　要：从2016年开始,我国经济逐渐企稳回升,大宗商品价格触底反弹。究其原因,一方面是经济周期的逻辑;另一方面则是供给侧改革初见成效。本文在深入分析2016年大宗商品价格走势的基础上,从经济景气周期循环角度、供给侧改革影响以及各商品自身价格的情况三个层面对2017年大宗商品价格走势进行预测。China＇s economy has seen a steady recovery since 2016, the price of commodities has also bottomed out. As for its causes, on the one hand, it is the logic of economic cycle; on the other, it is the primary outcome for the reform on the sup- ply side. This article will give a prediction on the movements of commodity prices in 2017 from the prospective of business cycle, and the impact given by the supply side reform as well as the pricing situation of major merchandises on the basis of a deep analysis on the movements of commodity price in 2016.

关 键 词：供给侧改革 大宗商品价格 经济景气周期 经济复苏 

分 类 号：F724.5[经济管理—产业经济] F764F323.7