中国城镇化水平、劳动贡献率与经济增长区域差异性的实证研究——基于省级面板数据的分析  

An Empirical Study of Urbanization Level,the Contribution Rate of Labor and Economic Growth on the Regional Difference——Based on the Provincial Panel Data

作　　者：王康[1] 孙健[1] 周淑芬[1] 

机构地区：[1]对外经济贸易大学保险学院,北京100029

出　　处：《人口与发展》2017年第2期22-29,共8页Population and Development

基　　金：河北省科技厅2015年基金项目"京津冀协同发展背景下河北省绿色金融发展路径优化研究"(项目编号:154576281)资助

摘　　要：选取1997-2015年29个省份的面板数据为样本,通过平稳性、协整、Granger因果检验分析,并运用GMM方法对其关系进行验证,研究分析劳动贡献率与城镇化对我国经济增长的影响。经济增长与城镇化之间有显著的关系,城镇化对经济增长起促进作用,但是城镇化与经济增长的交叉项以及劳动贡献率与经济增长的交叉项对经济的增长起着反向作用。据此提出了相关的政策建议。This paper selects the panel data of 29 provinces in 1997 -2015 to carry out empirical analysis. The relationship is verified by the analysis of the stability, co integration, Granger causality test, GMM method, studying the contribution rate of labor and urbanization impact on China＇s economic growth. The urbanization and economic growth is significantly related to the economic growth, urbanization plays an important role in economic growth, but the intersection between urbanization and economic growth and the contribution rate of labor and economic growth have a negative effect. On the basis of the above, the relevant policy recommendations are put forward to promote economic development.

关 键 词：劳动贡献率 老龄化 城镇化 经济增长 

分 类 号：F24[经济管理—劳动经济]