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作 者:史薇[1]
机构地区:[1]中国人民大学社会与人口学院,北京100872
出 处:《人口与发展》2017年第2期51-60,共10页Population and Development
摘 要:本文是一项复制性研究。使用2013年中国人民大学老年学研究所在北京市西城区开展的"老年人基本情况和服务需求调查"数据,重新检验了曹杨和王记文使用相同数据所做的公益活动参与对城市退休老年人生活满意度的影响。与这两位作者的不同之处在于,在研究方法上既使用常规回归分析也使用倾向值加权分析。比较这两种方法得出的研究结果后发现:如果不控制横截面数据的样本选择性偏差,常规回归模型不仅无法识别性别、居住方式、照料服务对生活满意度影响的显著性,还会低估年龄、婚姻、健康、子女数的作用程度。研究方法上的局限性,最终不利于研究者充分挖掘实证结果的政策意涵。This paper is a replication study. By use of the same data from the survey conducted by Institute of Gerontology, Renmin University of China in 2013, the author exams the findings carried out by Caoyang and Wang Jiwen in 2015. The survey is about the status and service demands of the elderly in Xicheng District, Beijing. Unlike Cao Yang and Wang Jiwen' s study,' this paper uses both ordinary binary logistic regression and propensity score weighting regression. Through the comparison of the different conclusions resuhing from the two research methods, this study finds that if no measures are taken to control sample selection bias, ordinary binary logistic regression can' t serve to recognize the significant influence on urban retirees' life satisfaction of gender,living styles and care services provided for others. Moreover, ordinary binary logistic regression will underestimate the effect of age, marital status, health status and number of children. All this obviously inhibits researchers from fully tapping the policy value of empirical research findings.
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