美国页岩油低油价下效益开发新进展及启示  

Latest Development in US Cost-effective Development of Shale Oil under Background of Low Oil Prices

作　　者：汪天凯[1] 何文渊[2] 袁余洋[3,4] 许坤[2] 李国昊[1] 李丰[2] 王世洪[2] 吕雷[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京工业大学 [2]中国石油天然气集团公司咨询中心 [3]四川建筑职业技术学院 [4]西南石油大学

出　　处：《石油科技论坛》2017年第2期60-68,共9页PETROLEUM SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY FORUM

基　　金：国家科技重大专项"陆上油气勘探技术发展战略研究"专题"石油公司业务发展战略与勘探投资策略"(编号:2017ZX05001-005-004)

摘　　要：美国页岩油2015年产量高达2.26×10~8t,占美国当年原油产量的50%以上。美国页岩油成功开发经验主要是良好的政策环境、坚实的技术积累及先进的管理模式,这些因素促美国页岩油勘探开发成本大幅下降,2015年美国页岩油盈亏平衡点较2014年平均下降30.5美元/bbl,使之在低油价的环境下仍可实现效益开发。建议我国加强以提高单井产量和采收率为核心的关键技术攻关,加强以提高效率和降低成本为核心的生产组织管理创新,开创扁平化项目制管理模式或专业化公司模式,加强政策支持,促进非常规油气有效发展,为页岩油规模开发创造条件,为实现资源的战略补充、接替及能源安全保障奠定坚实基础。US shale oil production reached 226 million tons in 2015, accounting for more than 50 percent of the country’s total crude oil production. The main experience in successful development of shale oil in the United States is the good environment for policies, solid accumulation of technology and the advanced managerial model. Shale oil exploration and development cost has dropped signifcantly in the United States thanks to those factors. As compared to 2014, the breakeven point of US shale oil declined by $30.5 per barrel in average in 2015, bringing about cost-effective development under the environment of low oil prices. It is proposed that China should launch research projects of key technologies to focus on improvement of single-well production and productivity, create production organizational management on the basis of higher effciency and cost-effectiveness, initiate fat project-system management model or specialized company model, and formulate more preferential policies to promote unconventional oil and gas development effciency. These measures will create the conditions for large-scale shale oil development, bring about strategic supplementation of resources and lay a solid foundation for energy substitution and security.

关 键 词：页岩油 效益开发 低油价 技术进展 启示 

分 类 号：F416.22[经济管理—产业经济] TE3[石油与天然气工程—油气田开发工程]