城市轨道交通与地面公交竞合关系演化机制  

Competitive and cooperative relationship evolution mechanism between urban rail transit and traditional bus

作　　者：赵学彧[1] 杨家其[1] 彭亚美[1] ZHAO Xue-yu YANG Jia-qi PENG Ya-mei(School of Transportation, W-uhan University of Technology , Wuhan 430063 , Chin)

机构地区：[1]武汉理工大学交通学院,武汉430063

出　　处：《吉林大学学报（工学版）》2017年第3期756-764,共9页Journal of Jilin University:Engineering and Technology Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(51279153)

摘　　要：为了揭示城市轨道交通与地面公交之间的竞争合作的演化特点,构建了城市交通客流自组织系统的演化模型。在此基础上,构建了城市轨道交通与地面公交之间的竞合机制模型,分析了两种方式共存时产生的竞合效应,以及在各竞合时期的关系演化机制。最后,以武汉市为例,分析了两种方式在不同时期的竞合关系演化态势,得到各时期下城市公共交通竞合效应发展特征和相应策略。本文研究成果对城市轨道网络与地面公交的规划和发展有显著的实践意义。To reveal the competition and cooperation evolution mechanism between urban rail transit and traditional bus, the evolution model of the self-organization systems in urban passenger transport flow is constructed. On this basis, the competition model consisting of urban rail and traditional bus is established with the coexistence of both competitive effect and cooperative effect. Finally, as a case study, the evolution mechanism in different stages in Wuhan city is analyzed. The development feature of the competitive and cooperative effects of urban public transit at each stage is obtained and corresponding strategy is illustrated. This study provides a reference for the planning and development of urban rail transit and public bus networks.

关 键 词：交通运输系统工程 城市轨道交通 自组织演化 竞合效应 竞合关系 演化机制 

分 类 号：U121[交通运输工程]