京津冀及周边地区空气质量预报工作存在问题及解决对策  

Problems of Air Quality Forecast in and around Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region and Its Solutions

作　　者：高愈霄[1] 鲁宁[1] 许荣[1] 王晓彦[1] 张良 王玲玲 曲凯 朱丽娅 任远哲 GAO Yuxiao LU Ning XU Rong WANG Xiaoyan ZHANG Liang WANG Lingling QU Kai ZHU Liya REN Yuanzhe(State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Quality Control in Environmental Monitoring, China National Environmental Monitoring Centre, Beijing 100012 ,China Hebei Environmental Emergency and Heavy Pollution Weather Warning Centre,Shijiazhuang 050037,China Henan Province Environmental Monitoring Centre,Zhengzhou 450004, China Shandong Province Environmental Information and Monitoring Centre,Ji＇nan 250101, China Environmental Monitoring Central Station of Shanxi Province,Taiyuan 030027, China Inner Mongolia Environment Monitoring Centre, Hohhot 010011, China)

机构地区：[1]中国环境监测总站国家环境保护环境监测质量控制重点实验室,北京100012 [2]河北省环境应急与重污染天气预警中心,河北石家庄050037 [3]河南省环境监测中心,河南郑州450004 [4]山东省环境信息与监控中心,山东济南250101 [5]山西省环境监测中心站,山西太原030027 [6]内蒙古自治区环境监测中心站,内蒙古呼和浩特010011

出　　处：《中国环境监测》2017年第2期11-16,共6页Environmental Monitoring in China

基　　金：环保公益性行业专项"京津冀区域大气重污染过程应急方案研究"(201309071)

摘　　要：环境空气质量预报工作作为担负重污染预警应急和大气污染防控不可或缺的基础工作,正逐步成为环保部门核心业务之一。基于近3年京津冀及周边地区省、市环境空气质量预报工作开展现状,针对预报工作中遇到的人员短缺、能力建设进度缓慢、预报资料匮乏等现实问题,从政策制度和预报技术2方面分析原因,提出需要从制度建设着手,通过建立健全预报工作保障制度、评价制度、考核制度和培训制度,完善地区预报能力建设和预报水平,同时为全国其他区域省、市空气质量预报工作的开展提供参考与借鉴。In response to the urgent needs on air pollution prevention and control by the public services and environmental management, ambient air quality forecast work was becoming one of the environment＇ s core businesses in China. Basing on the situation of air quality forecast in and around Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region during last three years, this paper found out the main problems in aspects of policy system and forecast technology such as shortage of stuff, shortage of forecast information and inefficient capacity construction. And pointed out that the improvement of regional air quality forecast should begin with system construction, including guarantee mechanism, evaluation system, appraisal system and training system. And this might contribute for air quality forecast in other regions of China.

关 键 词：京津冀及周边地区 空气质量预报 问题 对策 

分 类 号：X823[环境科学与工程—环境工程]