中国汽车产业关联和产业波及效果分析  

Analysis of Correlation Effect and Ripple Effect of China's Automobile Industry

作　　者：余淑秀[1,2] 卢山冰[1,3,4] Yu Shuxiu Lu Shanbing(School of Economics and Management Institute of Silk Road Studies, Northwest University, Xi＇an 710127, China College of Economics and Management, Hubei University of Automotive Technology, Shiyan, Hubei 442002, China Business School, Modern College of Northwest University, Xi＇ an 710130, China)

机构地区：[1]西北大学经济管理学院,西安710127 [2]湖北汽车工业学院经济管理学院,湖北十堰442002 [3]西北大学丝绸之路研究院,西安710127 [4]西北大学现代学院商学院,西安710130

出　　处：《统计与决策》2017年第9期88-92,共5页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：湖北省教育厅人文社科一般项目(14Y038)

摘　　要：文章根据2002年、2007年、2010年和2012年中国投入产出表,计算不同时期各项系数并进行分析比较,反映出中国汽车产业在不同发展阶段的结构特征。研究表明:中国汽车产业自身价值增加能力不足,产出结构中产品产出同技术产出不匹配;需求结构中投资需求带动作用最明显,对消费需求依赖度逐步扩大;汽车产业与自身的关联性最强,与其他产业存在多种直接间接联系,其结构优化将会间接影响其他产业。According to the input and output tables of China in 2002, 2007, 2010 and 2012, this paper calculates and comparatively analyzes the coefficients of different periods are, which reflects the structural characteristics of China＇s automobile industry at different stages of development. The study results show that the increase of the value of China＇s automobile industry is not enough, and that the output of production does not match with the technical output in the output structure. The driving effect of in- vestment demand in the demand structure is the most obvious, and the dependence on the consumption demand is gradually ex- panded. The automobile industry has the strongest correlation with itself, and has a variety of direct and indirect links with other industries. The structural optimization of the automobile industry will indirectly affect other industries.

关 键 词：投入产出法 汽车产业 关联分析 波及效果 产业结构优化 

分 类 号：F223[经济管理—国民经济]