21世纪海上丝绸之路海表温度异常与气候变率的相关性初探  

Spatio-Temporal Change of Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies in Seas of 21st Century Maritime Silk Road and Its Net Correlation to Climate Variability

作　　者：齐庆华[1,2] 蔡榕硕[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]国家海洋局第三海洋研究所,厦门361005 [2]国家海洋局海洋-大气化学与全球变化重点实验室,厦门361005

出　　处：《海洋开发与管理》2017年第4期41-49,共9页Ocean Development and Management

基　　金：中国清洁生产发展机制基金项目(2014112);福建省自然科学基金面上项目(2017J01076);国家海洋局第三海洋研究所基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(海三科20015030)

摘　　要：区域性海洋系统及其环境要素(尤其是海表温度等)受到局地和其他不同时空尺度气候变率的交互影响,加之全球变暖背景下,区域气候和海洋变化、变率及灾害风险的不确定性会进一步加强,因而分析其间的净相关性是研究海洋环境要素变化机制机理和预测预报的重要前提。文章选取主要的海洋、大气变率和遥相关型,在一定程度滤除干扰信号后,分析探讨各气候变率对21世纪海上丝绸之路沿途海区(简称丝路海区)海表温度异常变化的相关性特征和差异。通过分析可为我国有关气候变化下区域海洋环境响应、预报减灾研究和决策以及海洋环境安全保障提供新的依据和科技支撑。Regional ocean system and its thermal environmental elements are affected reciprocally by local and other teleconnected climate variability on different spatio-temporal scales.Analysis of the net relationship between them is one of the important aspects for the research of mechanisms and predictability on changes of marine environmental elements.This paper chose the main oceanic and atmospheric variability and teleconnection patterns with filtering interference signals to a certain degree,and analyzed the main correlation characteristics and difference between the climate variability and sea surface temperature（SST）anomalies in seas of 21 st Century Maritime Silk Road（MSRS）.The analysis provides a new basis and technical support services for the research on the ocean and climate changes and the marine environment security of China.

关 键 词：海表温度 气候变率 温度梯度 海洋环境安全 21世纪海上丝绸之路 

分 类 号：P7[天文地球—海洋科学]