基于回归分析法的天津市交通及土地利用对环境的影响研究  

Impacts of Traffic and Land Use on the Environment in Tianjin Based on Regression Analysis

作　　者：李立[1] 李欣[1] 章静敏[1] 

机构地区：[1]河北工业大学经济管理学院,天津300401

出　　处：《河北工业大学学报（社会科学版）》2017年第1期53-57,共5页Journal of Hebei University of Technology：Social Sciences Edition

摘　　要：试图通过软件分析,将2006到2015年天津市交通及土地利用对环境的影响量化。取天津市SO2、NO2、PM10近10年的平均浓度数据作为因变量,私人汽车拥有量、天津市地区生产总值和人均绿地面积为自变量,并用Eviews软件进行回归分析。结果显示,天津市机动车尾气仍是影响空气污染的主要因素,而绿地系统并未起到自净作用,因此应该大力发展公共交通和绿地建设,并借鉴西方国家精明增长战略,合理规划土地布局,从根本上减少机动车出行,降低环境污染。This study quantifies the impact of traffic and land use on the environment in Tianjin from 2005 to 2014. Takingthe average concentration data of SOz NO2 and PMIO in Tianjin as the dependent variable, private car ownership, GDP ofTianjin and green area per capita as the independent variables, regression analysis was carried out with Eviews. Resultsshow that the automobile exhaust is still the important factor affecting air pollution, and the green space system does notplay the role of self-purification. Therefore, this study suggests that public transportation and green space constructionshould be vigorously developed; advanced strategies should be drawn from Western countries and the land use should bereasonably planned, thus decreasing the number of the motor vehicles and lowering the environment pollution.

关 键 词：交通及土地利用 回归分析 环境污染 EVIEWS 

分 类 号：F572.88[经济管理—产业经济]