基于通径分析的露天矿违章诱发事故的驱动力研究  

Study on Driving Force of Violation Behavior Induced Accidents in Open Pit Mine Based on Path Analysis

作　　者：孟爱国[1] 张树福[1] 崔玉强[2] 

机构地区：[1]内蒙古呼伦贝尔学院东部安全培训中心,内蒙古呼伦贝尔021008 [2]华能伊敏煤电有限责任公司露天矿,内蒙古呼伦贝尔021008

出　　处：《煤矿安全》2017年第4期245-248,共4页Safety in Coal Mines

摘　　要：在某露天矿2015年反违章记录与事故通报基础上,将习惯性违章进一步分类,整理出作业性违章、装置性违章、管理性违章和违反作业标准4个指标数据,采用通经分析法定量分析诱发事故发生因素的驱动力。结果表明:在一次事故中作业性违章是主要诱发驱动力,而且违章前违反作业标准经常是发生不安全行为的前提,所以违反作业标准的间接驱动力最大,作业性违章发生时如果不及时制止员工会进一步降低作业标准;在一次事故中违反作业标准和管理性违章是次要驱动力。如果长时间得不到纠正就会直接导致事故的发生或间接地影响员工的行为选择和习惯,从而促动员工诱发作业性违章的倾向。On the basis of the anti-violation behavior record and accident reports of an open pit mine in 2015, habitual violationbehaviors were further classified, there were four index data, including the operational violation, device violation, management vio-lation and operating standard violation. The path analysis method was used to quantitatively analyze the driving force inducing ac-cident factors. The results showed that the operation violation was the main driving force in an accident, and the operating stan-dard violation was often the precondition of the unsafe action occurrence, so the operating standard violation was indirect maximumdriving force, and the operating standard would be further reduced if workers were not stopped in time as the operating violationoccurred. In an accident, the operating standard violation and the management violation were the secondary driving force. If theywere not corrected for long time, it would directly lead to the accident occurrence or indirectly affect behavior choices and habitsof workers, thereby promoted workers to induce the tendency of the operational violation.

关 键 词：海因里希事故法则 习惯性违章 多元线性回归 通径分析 驱动力 

分 类 号：TD79[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]