最低工资制度能提高底层劳动者的收入吗？--基于2003--2012年中国综合社会调查数据的经验研究  

Can Minimum Wage Policy Increase the Income of the Laborers at the Bottom Level?——An Empirical Study Based on 2003-2012 CGSS Data

作　　者：谢富胜[1,2] 陈瑞琳[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学经济学院 [2]中国特色社会主义经济建设协同创新中心

出　　处：《中国人民大学学报》2017年第3期54-70,共17页Journal of Renmin University of China

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目“平均利润率趋于下降规律与经济危机研究”(14AJL003)

摘　　要：自从最低工资制度确立以来,经济学界围绕其经济效应在理论研究和经验分析上都存在很大的分歧。依据不同假设建立的理论模型可以得出完全相反的判断,经验结果也随着微观数据库的完善和计量方法的发展而存在差异。最低工资制度的主要目的是保护底层劳动者的收入,我们在劳动榨取模型的基础上,建立了一个最低工资收入效应的政治经济学模型。基于2003—2012年中国综合社会调查的数据,采用无条件分位回归方法进行的经验分析发现,中国最低工资的不断调整显著地提高了底层劳动者的收入,处于低收入阶层的年轻人和女性从最低工资的提高中获益更多。Ever since the origin of minimum wage policy, among economists there have been heated debates on its economic impacts both theoretically and empirically. While theoretical models based on different assumptions make divergent predictions, empirical analysis could be distinct from each other due to the proliferation of micro-level data as well as the sophistication of econometrical tools over time. The major goal of this policy is to protect the laborers at the bottom level and increase their wages. Therefore, basing on the labor extraction model, we develop a model of political economy to analyze the income effects of minimum wage policy. Applying the unconditional quantile regression method to the CGSS data from 2003 to 2012, we find out that the constant adjustments of minimum wage level in China have contributed significantly to increase the income for these low-wage workers, especially for the youth and female workers.

关 键 词：最低工资 收入效应 无条件分位回归 

分 类 号：F249.24[经济管理—劳动经济]