节约集约用地政策对城市蔓延的遏制效应  

Curbing effect on urban sprawl by the policy of economical and intensive use of land

作　　者：王家庭[1,2] 毛文峰[1] 臧家新 卢星辰[1] 

机构地区：[1]南开大学中国城市与区域经济研究中心 [2]中国特色社会主义经济建设协同创新中心

出　　处：《城市问题》2017年第5期9-16,共8页Urban Problems

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(12BJY048)--快速城市化进程中我国城市蔓延的成本:收益评估与治理模式构建研究

摘　　要：客观评估土地调控政策对城市蔓延影响的实际效果,对于推动中国新型城镇化的健康发展具有重要的现实意义。以节约集约用地政策为例,基于我国35个大中城市2002-2014年的面板数据,运用断点回归设计方法,实证检验了该项政策对城市蔓延的具体影响。结果显示,节约集约用地政策在一定程度上遏制了我国大中城市的快速无序蔓延,减缓了城市建设用地规模的扩张速度。在此基础上提出了完善该项政策的相应建议。Objectively evaluating the policy effect of land control policy on urban sprawl is of great practical significance on the healthy development of new-type urbanization.Based on the panel data of 35 large and medium-sized cities in China during 2002-2014,this essay makes an empirical study on the influence of the urban sprawl of the policy of economical and intensive use of land by using the Regression Discontinuity Design Method. The results show that the economical and intensive land use policy is to a certain extent to curb the rapid and disorderly sprawl of China's large and medium-sized cities,and to significantly reduce the speed of urban construction land expansion. Accordingly,this essay puts forward suggestions for improving the policy.

关 键 词：城市蔓延 节约集约用地政策 断点回归 大中城市 

分 类 号：F301.2[经济管理—产业经济]