中国职业篮球联赛球队获胜关键技术指标判定  

Determination of the Winning-related Performance Indicators in Team of Chinese Basketball Association League

作　　者：陆森召[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京航空航天大学体育部,江苏南京210016

出　　处：《沈阳体育学院学报》2017年第2期128-133,共6页Journal of Shenyang Sport University

摘　　要：对职业篮球技术指标与比赛胜负关系的研究探讨,可以帮助教练员有效地对日常训练和比赛进行计划、指挥和控制。本研究以2014—2015赛季CBA联赛的406场比赛为研究对象,选取了15项比赛技术指标作为研究样本。通过独立样本t检验对其进行描述性和对比性分析,通过判别分析对比赛技术指标与比赛胜负的关系进行函数创建,从而实现诊断性和预测性分析。同时,将参赛球队实力划分为季后赛球队(强队)和非季后赛球队(弱队),对不同实力球队之间对阵的比赛中的胜负关键指标进行甄别与判定。独立样本t检验的结果显示:在4种不同的对阵中,3分命中率和助攻为区分胜负场次的共性显著变量。判别分析的结果显示:2分命中率、3分命中率、总篮板数、抢断和失误5个指标在4种对阵形式中皆为显著性贡献变量。研究结果有助于客观全面地认识CBA联赛的比赛制胜规律,从而能为教练员和运动员在日常训练及比赛中的技术策略实施和调整提供借鉴。Exploring the technique indexes and the relationship between the success and failure of professional basketball can help coaches plan, command and control effectively in daily training and competition. This paper, taking 406 games of 2014/15 Chinese men professional basketball league （CBA） as the research objects, selecting 16 tactices indexes as the re- search samples,makes a descriptive and comparative analysis by independent sample t-test, creates the functions of tech- nique, indexes and the relationship of success and failure by discriminant, so as to realize the diagnostic and predictive anal- ysis. At the same time, teams are divided into playoff teams （strong） and a playoff teams （weak） by team quality, identify to determine the key indicators of different strength squad against different opponents in games. Independent samples t-test results show that 3-point shooting and assists are the common significant variables to distinguish the outcome in four differ- ent formations. Discriminant analysis results show that five indicators, i. e. 2-point shooting, 3 point shooting, total re- bounds, steals and errors are significant contributing variables in four formations. Research results are helpful to objectively and comprehensively understand the rules of winning of CBA league,provide reference for implementation and adjustment of strategy and tactics for the coaches and athletes in daily training and competition.

关 键 词：中国职业篮球联赛 表现分析 攻防实力 关键指标 

分 类 号：G841[文化科学—体育训练]