城市户籍管制放松与外来人口购房行为相关性研究  

Relaxing Urban Household Registration and House Purchasing Behavior of Immigrants

作　　者：邹一南[1] 

机构地区：[1]中共中央党校经济学教研部,100091

出　　处：《上海经济研究》2017年第5期98-106,119,共10页Shanghai Journal of Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"农民工市民化进程中制度冲突与协调问题研究"(编号:15CJL033)的资助

摘　　要：该文运用2014年国家卫计委流动人口动态监测数据和城市统计年鉴,考察了城市户籍管制放松对外来人口购房行为的影响。Probit模型分析结果表明,在控制住个体因素和城市因素后,城市户籍管制的放松不仅显著提升了外来人口购买所在城市住房的概率,而且使外来人口拥有所在城市住房的平均年龄提前。城市户籍、受过高等教育、有学龄子女和在就业地居住五年以上的外来人口,在城市户籍管制放松时,购房概率的提升比农村户籍、未受高等教育、无学龄子女和就业居住不足五年的外来人口更为显著。因此,为促进外来人口在就业地购房,实现"市民化挂钩去库存"的政策目标,应进一步放松城市尤其是大城市的户籍管制,有重点地加快推进外来人口落户,形成城市住房的有效需求。Employing dynamic monitoring data of China＇s floating population in 2014 and China＇s city statistical yearbook in 2015, this paper studies the impact of relaxing urban household registration （Hukou） on the behavior of immigrants＂ house purchasing. Probit model reveals that, after controlling personal and urban factors, relaxing Hukou not only enhances the house purchasing probability of immigrants, but also makes these purchasing earlier in their life time. Immigrants with urban Hukou, with college education background and their children in school age and living in cities more than 5 years, enjoy more purchasing probability after Hukou relaxing policy introduced, compared with other immigrants.

关 键 词：户籍管制 外来人口 购房行为 

分 类 号：F293[经济管理—国民经济]