欧元危机的性质、前景及其中的劳动生产率因素  

Nature and Prospects of the Euro Crisis and the Role of Labor Productivity

作　　者：徐坡岭[1] 贾春梅[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所 [2]辽宁大学

出　　处：《国际经济评论》2017年第3期111-128,共18页International Economic Review

摘　　要：欧元是世界第二大货币,欧元区的经济发展和凝聚力是其货币实力的主要支撑。2009年欧债危机爆发后,欧债危机引发的希腊退欧风险对欧洲货币联盟的基础造成冲击,进而引发欧元的存在性危机和治理框架危机。2016年英国公投脱欧,以及难民危机背景下不断高涨的反全球化和反一体化民粹主义浪潮,再次拷问欧元的长期前景。表面上看,目前关于欧元命运的担忧源于政治冲击,实际上问题根源仍然在经济层面。欧元区多数成员国的中下层民众生活水平无法得到改善,既源于欧债危机后全球经济增速放缓的影响,更源于欧元区内劳动生产率增长的停滞和国家间劳动生产率的分化。欧元治理框架的完善在一定程度上能够提高欧元的信用水平,但要从根本上解决欧元的存在性危机,关键还在于能否提高区域内劳动生产率增速,纠正区域经济发展失衡,并实现繁荣共享。As the world's second most important currency, the euro is mainly backed by the economicgrowth momentum and cohesion of the euro zone members. In 2009, the possibility of Greecewithdrawing from the euro zone, triggered by the euro debt crisis, threatened to shake thefoundation of the European Monetary Union and risked triggering a euro crisis and euro zonegovernance crisis. The United Kingdom's decision to leave the European Union in 2016 andthe rising populism and anti-globalization and anti-integration sentiment against the backdropof the refugee crisis in Europe also affected people's confidence in the future of the euro. Theostensible cause of the euro crisis is political instability, but actually it essentially comes fromthe economic predicament of the region. The slowing global growth in the wake of the globalfinancial crisis, the slowdown in productivity growth, and the widening productivity gap amongmembers of the euro zone have combined to contribute to the unimproved living standards ofthe middle and lower classes in most euro zone members. To root out the problem, the eurozone must improve its productivity growth to rebalance growth among different euro zonemembers and achieve common prosperity.

关 键 词：欧元危机 政治冲击 劳动生产率 区域失衡 

分 类 号：F821.5[经济管理—财政学]