河南省县域城镇化效率测度及影响因素分析  

The Measure of Urbanization Efficiency and Influencing Factors in the County of Henan Province

作　　者：刘敏[1] 雷龙涛[1] 韩佳祥 周志民[1] 陈太政[1] 叶露培 庄莹莹[1] 

机构地区：[1]河南大学环境与规划学院,河南开封475004

出　　处：《河南大学学报（自然科学版）》2017年第3期253-261,共9页Journal of Henan University:Natural Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41501588);国家社会科学基金项目(14CRK024);河南省科技发展计划项目(152102310303);河南省哲学社会科学规划项目(2014BJJ001)

摘　　要：以县域为基本地域研究单元,选取12个具有代表性的投入产出指标构建河南省城镇化效率评价指标体系,借助DEA和Tobit模型对河南省的城镇化效率进行测度,结果发现:(1)河南省县域单元的城镇化综合效率水平和规模效率水平总体均相对较低,而纯技术效率水平则总体相对较高,但三者均呈现出不断上升的趋势.同时,城镇化综合效率、纯技术效率和规模效率的高水平区主要分布在河南省的西部、中部和北部地区,且分布范围不断扩展,而低水平区则主要分布在河南省的东部和南部地区,分布范围则不断缩减.(2)河南省城镇化的纯技术效率比规模效率相对较高,但是规模效率变化幅度比纯技术效率更大,且地区分异更明显.因此,纯技术效率是影响河南省城镇化综合效率水平高低的主导因素,而规模效率是影响综合效率变化幅度的重要推动因素.(3)建成区面积、城镇年末从业人员、公共财政预算支出和二三产业生产总值始终是影响城镇化综合效率的重要因素,其中二三产业生产总值对城镇化综合效率的影响呈现出显著的正相关性,而建成区面积、城镇年末从业人员和公共财政预算支出则对城镇化综合效率表现出负的相关性.Taking county as the basic regional research unit, 12 representative input and output indexes were selected to construct the evaluation index system of urbanization efficiency in Henan Province. The DEA model was used to evaluate the comprehensive efficiency, pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency of urbanization in Henan Province, and the Tobit model was applied to make regression analysis the comprehensive efficiency of urbanization, then its influence factors were analyzed. The results indicate that： （1） The level of comprehensive efficiency and scale efficiency of the county in Henan Province was relatively low, while the pure technical efficiency was relatively high, all of which showed a rising trend. The high level areas of comprehensive efficiency, pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency of urbanization were mainly distributed in the western, central and northern areas of Henan Province, and the scope of the expansion was expanding. While the low level areas were mainly distributed in the eastern and southern regions of Henan Province, the distribution area was also shrinking. （2） The pure technical efficiency of Henan Province was relatively higher than the scale efficiency, but the scale efficiency was more efficient than the pure technical efficiency, and the regional distribution difference was more obvious. The comprehensive efficiency of urbanization was the result of the pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency of urbanization. So, pure technical efficiency was the dominant factor that affects the level of comprehensive efficiency of urbanization in Henan Province, and the scale efficiency was the driving factor of the comprehensive efficiency change. （3） They were always important factors affecting the efficiency of comprehensive urbanization for the builtup area, urban workers, public expenditure budget and the two or three industry GDP, which was a significant positive correlation between the gross industrial output value and the comprehensive efficiency of urb

关 键 词：DEA模型 TOBIT模型 城镇化效率 影响因素 河南省 

分 类 号：F291[经济管理—国民经济]