云南物流效率的滇缅贸易效应研究——基于贸易引力模型的实证分析  

Study of Yunnan-Myanmar Trade Effect on Yunnan's Logistics Efficiency

作　　者：黄洁[1] 白捷伊 王小腾 刘名多 HUANG Jie BAI Jieyi WANG Xiaoteng LIU Mingduo(Faculty of Management and Economics, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650093, Chin)

机构地区：[1]昆明理工大学管理与经济学院,昆明650093

出　　处：《科技与经济》2017年第3期85-89,共5页Science & Technology and Economy

基　　金：云南省教育厅项目--"以信息化提升昆曼大通道跨境物流效率对策研究"(项目编号:KKJA201508022;项目负责人:黄洁)成果之一;昆明理工大学管理与经济学院热点领域科研支撑计划项目--"提升昆曼公路跨境物流效率对策研究"(项目编号:QY2015037;项目负责人:黄洁)成果之一;国家自然科学基金项目--"基于超网络的云南山地农业可持续发展研究"(项目编号:KKGD201408030;项目负责人:李林红)成果之一

摘　　要："一带一路"战略的实施将有力带动云南对外经济的发展,云南由对外开放的末端走向了前沿。从物流效率的角度出发,选取物流劳动生产率、资本生产率以及单位货物周转费用作为衡量云南物流效率的指标,并引入贸易引力模型分析了云南物流效率对滇缅贸易的影响。研究表明云南物流综合效率的提高显著促进了滇缅贸易的发展,其中最为明显的是劳动生产率的促进作用,而这一促进作用又受限于滞后的资本生产率。基于这一结论,最终提出提高云南物流效率,推动滇缅贸易发展的相关建议。Along with the implementation of “the Belt and Road’, strategy, Yunnan will be pushed from the backward area to the forefront of China’s opening up to the outside world which will greatly promote the development of Yunnan foreign economy. This paper, in the aspect of logistics efficiency, selects logistics labor productivity, capital productivity and unit cost of goods turnover as the inde-xes to measure the logistics efficiency of Yunnan Province, and analyzes the effect of Yunnan logistics efficiency on Yunnan-Myanmar Trade by introducing the trade gravity model. It is found that the improvement of Yunnan comprehensive logistics efficiency has obvi-ously promoted Yunnan-Myanmar trade. The promotion effect of labor productivity is especially obvious and it is limited by the hysteret- ic capital productivity. Based on this conclusion,the suggestions of improving Yunnan’s logistics efficiency and promoting Yunnan-My- anmar trade are put forward finally.

关 键 词：云南物流效率 滇缅贸易效应 贸易引力模型 

分 类 号：F259.27[经济管理—国民经济] F752.8