中国地级市新型城镇化的影响因素  

Influencing Factors of New Urbanization in Prefecture-level Cities of China

作　　者：秦明[1] 杨亚玲[2,3] 苏毅清[1] 王志刚[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院,北京100872 [2]黄冈师范学院商学院,湖北黄冈438800 [3]黄冈师范学院大别山特色资源开发湖北省协同创新中心,湖北黄冈438800

出　　处：《地域研究与开发》2017年第3期41-45,54,共6页Areal Research and Development

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(11&ZD052)

摘　　要：通过探索性空间分析检验中国地级市新型城镇化各指数存在的空间自相关性,并利用空间误差模型及其稳健性分析对新型城镇化质量、效率与城乡协调指数的影响因素进行案例探讨。结果显示:新型城镇化的质量、效率与城乡协调指数均存在空间自相关性。产业结构对城镇化发展质量具有正向促进作用,而与城镇化效率、城乡协调指数的关系则恰好相反;基础设施建设和土地规模有助于提高城镇化的质量与效率,但却抑制城乡之间的协调发展。整体来看,工业化的发展、基础设施的完善以及土地的规模效应有助于新型城镇化的发展。The spatial autocorrelation of new urbanization in prefecture-level cities of China was estimated with exploratory spatial data analysis, what＇ s more, using the spatial error model to empirically analyze the factors on their quality, efficiency and coordination index. The results show that there is a spatial autocorrelation in quality, coordina- tion and efficiency of new urbanization. Among them, the industrial structure has a positive effect on the index of ur- ban quality, but opposite for the index of urban efficiency and coordination. In addition, infrastructure will improve the index of urban quality and efficiency, but inhibit coordinated development between urban and rural area. On the whole, due to industrialization, infrastructure and land scale, the new urbanization will develop more higher.

关 键 词：新型城镇化 城镇化指数 空间自相关 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]