金砖国家本土市场需求对出口产品技术升级的影响——基于2000-2015年面板数据的实证分析  

The Effects of Native Market Demand on the Technical Upgrade of Exports in BRICS:Based on the Empirical Analysis Using the Panel Data During 2000-2015

作　　者：李景睿[1] 赵婉婉[1] 

机构地区：[1]广东工业大学经济与贸易学院

出　　处：《亚太经济》2017年第3期146-153,共8页Asia-Pacific Economic Review

基　　金：国家社科基金青年项目"收入分配演进对中等收入阶段生产率提升的影响机制研究"(14CJL009);2016广东省普通高校特色创新类项目"国际质量分工新格局下广东出口产品质量升级研究:收入分配的影响力"

摘　　要：基于金砖五国2000-2015年面板数据,探讨本土市场需求水平、需求规模和需求结构对金砖国家出口产品技术升级的影响机制,并测度其影响效应。实证研究表明,金砖五国人均收入水平的提高,促进了国内需求结构升级;庞大的人口规模形成规模经济提高了创新的成功概率,为出口产品结构优化提供了有力的需求保障;过分依赖外部市场会让金砖国家陷入比较优势陷阱,通过增加研发投入强度会出现边际报酬递减。因此,充分发挥本土市场优势实现规模经济,培育与提升出口产品竞争优势是金砖国家外贸可持续发展的必然选择。Based on the panel data of the BRICS countries during 2000-2015,we explore the mechanism and effect of native market demand level,demand size and demand structure on the technoical upgrade of exports. The empirical study shows that the increase of domestic income per capita promotes the structure upgrade of domestic demand,economies of scale which is formed by the large size of population increases the probability of innovative success,the expansion of income gap plays a negative role,the excessive reliance on external market will make the BRICS countries fall into the comparative advantage trap,and the increasing input of R&D will result in diminishing marginal returns. Therefore,giving full play to the native market advantage to achieve economies of scale and further cultivating and improving the competitive advantage of exports are the inevitable choices for the sustainable development of foreign trade in BRICS.

关 键 词：金砖国家 本土市场需求 出口产品 技术升级 

分 类 号：F75[经济管理—国际贸易]