近期印度政治发展趋势及其影响  

Recent Political Development Trends in India and Its Impacts

作　　者：王世达[1] 杨瑞[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国现代国际关系研究院南亚东南亚及大洋洲所 [2]中国传媒大学外国语学院

出　　处：《现代国际关系》2017年第5期26-32,共7页

摘　　要：2017年3月,印度总理莫迪率领印度人民党(印人党)在新一轮地方选举中获得大胜,特别是以绝对优势赢得具有"印度大选风向标"之称的北方邦议会选举。此前,印人党已经在2014年人民院(印度议会下院)中赢得简单多数,结束了印度过去30年的联盟政治局面。目前,印人党在联邦政府和地方政权两个层面不断走强,一党独大地位更加凸显,国大党、地方政党、左翼政党等反对党短期内均难以与之抗衡,莫迪2019年连任总理可能性抬升。印度以上政治发展趋势背景复杂,偶然因素与内在逻辑并存,这将深刻影响印度未来发展。On March 2017,Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi won victory in India’s new round of local election on behalf of Bharatiya Janata Party(BJP).In 2014,BJP has already won the simple majority in Lok Sabha,the lower house of Indian parliament,which ended the coalition politics lasting over three decades.Nowadays,BJP is ruling not only in federal government but also in many provincial authorities,showing its dominant position.The oppositions,including Indian National Congress Party,local political parties as well as left-wing parties,find it harder to compete with BJP in the short term.The possibility of Mr.Modi to win his second term in 2019 is rising.Such a new political development will inevitably have impacts on India’s future.

关 键 词：印度 莫迪 印人党 印度教民族主义 

分 类 号：D735.1[政治法律—政治学]