林业碳汇经济价值评价及其影响因素分析——基于碳控排企业支付意愿的调查  

The Analysis of Economic Value and Influencing Factors of Forestry Carbon Sequestration:Based on the Willingness to Pay for Carbon Emission Control Enterprises

作　　者：黄宰胜[1] 陈钦[2] HUANG Zai-sheng CHEN Qin(College of Economics, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou 350002, China The Fir Engineering Technology Research Center, National Forestry Administration Bureau, Fuzhou 350002, China)

机构地区：[1]福建农林大学经济学院,福建福州350002 [2]国家林业局杉木工程技术研究中心,福建福州350002

出　　处：《统计与信息论坛》2017年第6期113-121,共9页Journal of Statistics and Information

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目<福建省生态公益林保护对林农的经济影响评估及其生态补偿标准研究>(71273052);福建农林大学科技创新专项基金项目<林业碳汇经济价值研究>(KCXRC234A)

摘　　要：林业碳汇的经济价值是决定林业碳汇生产和交易的重要指标。基于浙江省温州市碳控排企业调查数据,运用条件价值法(CVM),引入计划行为理论,从碳控排企业支付意愿视角探讨林业碳汇经济价值及其影响因素。结果表明,碳控排企业对林业碳汇的支付意愿是"是否愿意支付"和"愿意支付多少金额"两个决策过程的统一。受访企业负责人个体特征、企业特征、气候变化认知、行为态度、主观规范变量显著正向影响碳控排企业是否愿意为林业碳汇支付;受访企业负责人个体特征、企业特征、林业碳汇认知、行为态度、知觉行为控制、行为经验变量显著正向影响碳控排企业的林业碳汇支付金额,反向行为执行意向则产生显著负向影响,利用PCE模型计算得到其平均支付金额,即林业碳汇经济价值为47.36元/t·CO_2。Carbon sequestration economic value is an important indicator to determine the forestry carbon production and trade. In this paper, exploring the economic value of forest carbon sequestration from the perspective of willingness to pay of carbon emission control enterprise, using contingent valuation method （CVM） , introduction of the theory of planned behavior, based on the survey data from Wenzhou city of Zhejiang Province carbon emission control enterprise. The results showed that willingness to pay for carbon sequestration of carbon emission controlled companies is unified ＂whether willing to pay＂ and ＂how much willing to pay ＂ two decision-making process, which are positive significantly impacted by variables of social economic attribute and psychological factors. The economic value of forest carbon sequestration is 47. 36 yuan /t C02 by piecewise-constant exponential model （PCE）.

关 键 词：林业碳汇 碳控排企业 支付意愿 计划行为理论 二元Logit模型 PCE模型 

分 类 号：F224.0[经济管理—国民经济]