西部人口城镇化与土地城镇化的协调性分析——基于12省区面板数据模型  

Analysis of the Coordination of Population Urbanization and Land Urbanization—— A Panel Data Model Based on the 12 Western Provinces

作　　者：孙丽萍[1] 杨筠[2] 

机构地区：[1]曲靖师范学院数学与统计学院,云南曲靖655011 [2]内江师范学院经济与管理学院,四川内江641112

出　　处：《曲靖师范学院学报》2017年第3期86-90,共5页Journal of Qujing Normal University

基　　金：国家社科课题"西部人口城市化质量现状和存在问题研究"(12BJY051);曲靖师范学院省级"十二五"优势特色重点学科"应用经济学"

摘　　要：通过构建建成区面积和城镇总人口的指数关系模型,实证检验西部地区人口城镇化与土地城镇化之间长期均衡关系,结论为:西部地区土地规模弹性系数为1.48(国际公认标准值为1.12),说明人口-土地城镇化存在失调发展状况,表现为人口城镇化滞后或者土地城镇化超前,从12省区具体情况看,人口-土地城镇化协调发展的差异较大,其中,重庆和宁夏土地规模弹性系数最高,为国际标准值的两倍;甘肃和青海土地规模弹性系数低于国际标准值;其他的省区介于两者之间,最后提出实现西部地区人口-土地城镇化的协调发展对策建议.An index model of relationship between built - up urban area and urban population is established and it reveals the long - term equilibrium relationship of population urbanization and land urbanization. The empirical test on 12 western provinces show that long - term land scale elastic coefficient is 1.48 （ the rea- sonable international value is 1.12）, which implies the imbalanced development between population urbani- zation and land urbanization, either back - warded population urbanization or advanced land urbanization. To be specific, results vary from a province to another： Chongqing and Ningxia score the twice the standard; in Gansu and Qinghai highest, about , the land scale elasticity coefficient is lower than the standard val- ues; other provinces are in between. Based on the result, corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.

关 键 词：人口城镇化 土地城镇化 协调性 

分 类 号：F299.21[经济管理—国民经济] F124.7