热手效应研究发展述评  

Review on the research of hot-hand effect

作　　者：熊四海[1] 杨玉瑛[1] 

机构地区：[1]深圳大学体育部,广东深圳518000

出　　处：《山东体育科技》2017年第3期18-22,共5页Shandong Sports Science & Technology

摘　　要："热手效应"最初是指篮球比赛中球员连续命中的现象,更多的是一种"感觉"体验。自从1985年季洛维奇等人具有里程碑意义的论文发表后,学术界基本接受了热手是人们对随机序列事件认知错觉的观点,热手效应成为"谬误"。此后相关研究扩展和应用至诸多领域,然而大多数体育从业者和运动爱好者对这一理论仍有异议。近年来随着越来越多的研究者提出"热手"存在的证据,关于"热手效应"的研究又热闹起来。主要用文献综述的方法梳理了热手研究的脉络及最新研究发现,并提出对这一问题的几点思考。The ＂ hot- hand effect＂ originally refers to the consecutive hit phenomenon of basketball players, which is more of an experience feeling. Since Gilovich＇s paper of milestone significance was published in 1985, scholars have generally accepted the view that hot-hand is kind of cognitive illusions to random sequence events, and hot-hand effect is supposed as ＂ fallacy＂. Thereafter, related research has been extended and applied to many other fields; however, most of athletes, coaches and sports fans have objections to this theory. In recent years, more and more researchers have put forward the evidence for hot-hand existence, and the discussions on whether there is hot-hand effect are back on the table. This paper mainly summarizes the research scheme on hot-hand effect and the latest research findings, and puts forward the author＇s thinking on it.

关 键 词：热手效应 热手谬误 随机序列 

分 类 号：G80[文化科学—运动人体科学]