主要矿产品价格指数编制方法与应用  

The Formulation Method of the Main Mineral Products Price Index and Its Application

作　　者：冯丹丹[1] 朱欣然[1] 陈甲斌[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国国土资源经济研究院,北京101149

出　　处：《中国国土资源经济》2017年第6期59-65,共7页Natural Resource Economics of China

基　　金：中国地质调查局地质调查工作项目"全国矿产资源勘查开采监测与管理技术"(DD20160091)

摘　　要：主要矿产品价格指数是衡量矿产市场新动向的重要经济指标,在引导市场主体科学决策、提升矿产品定价话语权和支撑资源形势分析工作等方面具有重要的应用价值。借鉴CRB和SPCI等商品价格指数编制方法,并结合我国实际,以2012年1月为基期,以月为发布单位,选取煤炭、石油等30种主要矿产品为样本,以其产值比为权重,采用加权平均法编制了我国主要矿产品价格指数。主要矿产品价格指数表明,2012年初至2015年末,指数连续下跌,至2016年1月触底反弹,随后震荡上行;与此同时,指数预警研究也表明我国矿产市场于2016年1月触底回暖。回顾历史,我国主要矿产品价格指数能够客观反映我国矿业市场新动态和变化趋势。As an important economic index that judges new developments in the mineral market, the price index of main mineral products will have an important practical value in these aspects such as guiding the market players to conduct scientifc decision-making, enhance their discourse power in minerals pricing, and help them to underpin the analysis on national resources. By using the formulation method of CRB and SPCI for reference, combining our actual condition, regarding the January of 2012 as base date, the release unit of month, selecting 30 major minerals such as coal and oil as a sample with the ratio of production value as weight, and using the weighted average method, the main mineral products price index is formulated. The price index showed that from the beginning of 2012 to the end of 2015, the index fell in succession. And rebounding emerged in January of 2016, whereafter, shocked upstream. At the same time, the research on index early warning indicated that mineral market in China began to recover from the bottom. When we look back through history, China’s main mineral products price index can objectively refect new developments and tendency in the mining market.

关 键 词：主要矿产品 价格指数 能源矿产 非能源矿产 编制方法 指数合成 预警分析 应用前景 

分 类 号：F407.1[经济管理—产业经济] F062.1