安徽省出口隐含碳排放及影响因素分析  

The Carbon Emissions Embodied in Export of Anhui and Analysis on Their Influencing Factors

作　　者：武小琳 丁家云[2] 

机构地区：[1]安徽财经大学,安徽蚌埠233030 [2]铜陵学院,安徽铜陵244000

出　　处：《铜陵学院学报》2017年第2期17-21,共5页Journal of Tongling University

基　　金：安徽财经大学与铜陵学院联合培养研究生科研创新基金(2016tlxylhy01)

摘　　要：基于投入产出模型测算了2000-2014年安徽省出口隐含碳排放量,同时对碳排放变动采用LMDI分解,即规模效应、结构效应和技术效应。测算得出,2000-2014年安徽省出口隐含碳排放增长16倍左右。其中,安徽省出口隐含碳排放增长迅速的主因是出口规模的扩张。理论上技术效应应该起到抑制隐含碳排放的作用,但结果表明,技术效应只是阶段性的起到抑制作用,并未持续发挥负效应。另外,结构效应理应也起到减缓碳排放的作用,但结果显示结构效应为正,且作用不明显。This paper evaluates the carbon emissions embodied in export of Anhui in 2000-2014 by using input-output tables. The influencing factors of it are decomposed into scale effect, structure effect and technology effect with LMDI technique. The results show that the total amount of carbon emission embodied in export of Anhui increased by 1600 percent during the period Jfrom 2000 to 2014. The scale effect is the main reason that causes the increase of carbon emission in export of Anhui. Theoretically, the technology effect should play a role in restraining the growth of carbon emission with the upgrading of production technology, while the empirical results show that it doesn’t play a negative effect continuously. In addition,the structure effect should play the same role with technol- ogy effect, but the empirical results show that the effect of it is positive and weak.

关 键 词：安徽省出口 隐含碳排放 LMDI分解 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]