地震作用下国防工程损毁风险分析系统研究  

Study on Earthquake-Damaged Risk Analysis System for Military Engineering

作　　者：王凤山[1,2] 戎全兵[2] 张宏军 

机构地区：[1]解放军理工大学野战工程学院,南京210007 [2]解放军理工大学指挥信息系统学院,南京210007

出　　处：《地下空间与工程学报》2017年第3期809-815,共7页Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(51308541);江苏省自然科学基金(BK20130066);中国博士后科学基金资助(20110491844);中国博士后科学基金特别资助(2013T60913)

摘　　要：针对地震作用下国防工程易损特性模型计算和仿真实验的需要,设计和建立了基于模块化和风险集成管理机制的地震作用下国防工程损毁风险分析系统。以区域灾害系统理论为指导,围绕致险因素、孕险环境、风险介质、控制机制及承险体等元素的相互作用、交互、影响,辨析国防工程震害损毁机理和风险体系,提炼、概括和抽象国防工程震害损毁风险结构、功能、以及状态的演化特性和表现,建立其系统分析基本流程和集成框架,确立一致和权威的国防工程震损风险系统模型和仿真推理公共起点;着眼风险模型时序执行和软件优化需求,给出了地震作用下国防工程损毁风险分析系统的模块化逻辑结构和功能设计,研制系统软件。案例表明,系统交互性良好,为有效分析国防工程震害易损性的本质问题提供了模型服务平台和仿真实验工具。For the needs of model calculation and simulation experiment about earthquake-induced vulnerability of military engineering, a earthquake-damaged risk analysis system was designed and implemented on module and integrated risk management mechanism. Directed by regional disaster system theory, earthquake-induced damage mechanism and risk system were discriminated from the reciprocity, interaction, and influence among the risk factors, risk pregnant environment, risk medium, control mechanism, risk-hold body and other elements. Through refining, summarizing and abstracting such earthquake-induced damage risk evolution and performance around structure, function and status points, basic system analysis workflow and integration were put forward, which established a consistent and authoritative commonality jumping-off on earthquake-damaged risk analysis system model and simulation reasoning operations for military engineering. Focusing on timing implementation and software optimization requirement about risk models, such module logical structure and function were designed for earthquake-damaged risk analysis system for military engineering, and systematic software was developed. The case shows its good alteration, which provides the effective model service flat and simulation experiment tool for the essential earthquake-induced vulnerability of military engineering.

关 键 词：风险分析 国防工程 地震 损毁 综合集成 

分 类 号：P642.22[天文地球—工程地质学] TP391.9[天文地球—地质矿产勘探]