教育对中国老年人健康预期寿命影响的多状态研究  

Study on the Impact of Education on Healthy Life Expectancy of the Elderly in China——Based on Multi-state Model

作　　者：李成福[1] 王海涛 王勇[1] 陈佳鹏[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人口与发展研究中心,北京100081 [2]中国老龄科学研究中心,北京100011

出　　处：《人口与发展》2017年第3期101-105,共5页Population and Development

基　　金：科技部"十二五"国家科技支撑项目:人口与发展数学模型与综合决策支持系统(2012BAI40B01)

摘　　要：使用中国城乡老年人追踪调查数据(2006年和2010年),采用多状态生命表模型,分析教育对中国老年人健康预期寿命的影响。中国60岁老年人的预期寿命为20.08岁,健康预期寿命18.69岁。随着年龄增长老年人健康预期寿命减少,从80岁开始,健康预期寿命低于不健康预期寿命。未上过学的老年人预期寿命低于小学以上老年人,未上过学的老年人健康预期寿命和健康预期寿命占比均低于小学以上老年人。教育水平对老年人预期寿命和健康预期起着影响作用。应把健康预期寿命作为评价老年人健康水平的主要指标之一。This paper used the multi - state life table model to analyze the impact of education on the healthy life expectancy of the elderly in China by using the tracking survey data on Rural - urban aged population of China （in 2006 and in 2010）. The results showed that the life expectan- cy of the elderly aged 60 years was 20.08 years ,and the healthy life expectancy was 18.69 years. With the increase of age, the healthy life expectancy of the elderly reduced, and the healthy life expectancy was lower than the unhealthy life expectancy since 80 years old. Those with illiterate educational level had lower life expectancy than those with primary schooling and over. Both the healthy life expectancy and the proportion of healthy life expectancy of the elderly with illiterate educational level were lower than those with primary schooling and over. Educational level had impact on the life expectancy and the healthy life expectancy of the elderly in china. Healthy life ekpectancy should be taken as one of the main indicators to evaluate the health level of the elderly in China.

关 键 词：老龄化 预期寿命 健康预期寿命 多状态生命表 

分 类 号：C92-05[社会学—人口学]