人力资本与经济增长的动态关联性研究--基于VAR模型  

Research on the Dynamic Relativity of Human Capital and Economic Growth Based on the VAR Model

作　　者：王丽娟[1] 陈飞[1] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁工程技术大学营销管理学院,辽宁葫芦岛125105

出　　处：《经济问题》2017年第7期32-36,共5页On Economic Problems

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年基金项目"儒家价值观对农村市场买卖关系影响的模型研究"(71202117)

摘　　要：选取1990-2014年度经济数据,运用VAR模型的协整分析、Granger因果检验、脉冲响应函数及其方差分解法,以辽宁省为例,对物质资本、人力资本与经济增长的关系进行了实证分析。研究结果表明:物质资本、人力资本与经济增长之间存在长期协整关系;长期内人力资本是经济增长的Granger原因;通过脉冲响应分析可知,在短期内物质资本对GDP具有显著的增长效应;而人力资本则在长期内才具有对经济增长的拉动效应。This paper chooses the economic data from 1990 to 2014, uses the co - integration analysis, Granger causality test, impulse response function and variance decomposition method based on VAR model, which analyses the relation between three variables of physical capital, human capital and economic growth with dynamic econo- metric analysis method. The results show that there is a co - integration relationship along physical capital, human capital and economic growth. The long - term effects of human capital is the Granger cause of economic growth; through the impulse response analysis, we find that physical capital increases the growth effect of GDP in the short term, the human capital has continued in the pulling effect on economic growth in the long term.

关 键 词：经济增长 人力资本 动态关联性 VAR模型 

分 类 号：F061.2[经济管理—政治经济学]