台商对大陆投资区位分布的时空格局演变  

The Spatial and Temporal Evolution of Taiwan Residents Investment in the Mainland

作　　者：侯丹丹[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]两岸关系和平发展协同创新中心,福建厦门361005 [2]厦门大学台湾研究院,福建厦门361005

出　　处：《台湾研究集刊》2017年第3期72-82,共11页Taiwan Research Journal

摘　　要：本文采用地理集中度指数、泰尔指数以及传统与空间马尔可夫链相结合的方法,来分析台商对大陆投资的区域差异及区位分布的时空格局演变。研究发现,台商对大陆投资区位分布由高度聚集向均衡"波动式"扩散,台商对大陆投资的省(市)际差异大,且东、中、西部区域间差异大于区域内差异,形成以江苏为核心区不断向外围扩散的"核心-外围"结构;台商对大陆投资存在稳定性较强的低水平和高水平俱乐部趋同,而"中间阶层"俱乐部稳定性一般;台商对大陆投资向邻近类型"渐进式"转移的概率较大,而发生"跨越式"转移的概率很小;台商对大陆投资的区域类型转移会受到其邻域环境的影响,且区域类型转移存在着显著的空间关联性。By using geographic concentration index, Theil index and the traditional method combined with spatial Markov chain, this paper makes a detailed analysis of the regional differences of Taiwan Residents investment in the mainland and the location of the temporal and spatial evolution. Findings show that the location distribution of Taiwan Residents investment in the mainland has developed from the high degree of aggregation to the diffusion of the balanced ＂wave type＂. The mainland＇s province （ or city） that Taiwan businessmen choose to invest in tends to be greatly different while the difference among the east, middle and the western regions is greater than that within some one region, which forms a ＂core-periphery＂ structure with Jiangsu Province as a core area spreading constantly towards periphery. On the other hand, there seems to have been a convergence in the strong stability of low-level and high-level clubs that exists in Taiwan Residents investment in the mainland while the ＂middle-level＂ club tends to be generally stable. In addition, there is more of possibility of the ＂progressive＂ transfer to adjacent areas than that of the ＂leaping＂ transfer in the investment. Finally, the regional-type transfer of the Taiwan Residents investment is affected by its neighborhood environment and there is a significant spatial correlation between the regional transfer.

关 键 词：台商投资 时空格局演变 马尔可夫链 泰尔指数 

分 类 号：F830.59[经济管理—金融学] F127