收入增长的俱乐部效应——论跨越中等收入陷阱的有效途径  

Club Effect of Income Growth—on the Effective Ways of Crossing the Middle Income Trap

作　　者：张欢[1] ZHANG Huan(Southeast University, Nanjing 211189)

机构地区：[1]东南大学经济管理学院

出　　处：《经济与管理研究》2016年第5期8-15,共8页Research on Economics and Management

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目"当前国际资源环境变化背景下加快我国经济发展方式转变的研究"(09AZD047);国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目"区际产业转移中地区经济风险的生成与治理--基于利益相关视角的研究"(71303206)

摘　　要：本文通过选取1993—2013年省域面板数据,基于俱乐部收敛的视角对收入增长和中等收入陷阱的关系进行实证研究。分析结果表明中国自改革开放以来尤其是20世纪90年代初市场经济体制确立后,各省域经济出现了明显的俱乐部趋同现象,分为东部地区的富裕省份俱乐部和中、西部地区相对落后省份俱乐部。这种长期的地区经济发展失衡不利于中国收入分配改革的有效实施。本文进一步选取教育、科研、制度、收入差距等条件变量,实证结果显著表明它们是影响地区间俱乐部效应的主要因素。跨越"中等收入陷阱"成功和失败的国家都离不开同以上四要素的联系,也正符合中国供给侧改革的政策内涵。Using provincial panel data from 1993 to 2013, this paper analyzes the relationship between income growth and the middle income trap from the perspective of club convergence. Analysis results show that since China＇s reform and opening, especially the establishment of market economic system in the early 1990s,provincial economies have significant club convergence phenomena, which includes eastern region of the rich provinces club, and the central and western regions of the relatively backward club. This long-term regional economic development gap hinders the effective implementation of China＇s income distribution reform. Selecting the conditional variables such as education, scientific research, institution, and income gap, the empirical result indicates significantly that they are the main factors influencing the interregional club effect. The middle income trap has interactions with the four elements above. This is consistent with the policy of the current supply-side reform.

关 键 词：收入增长 收入分配 俱乐部收敛 地区差距 中等收入陷阱 

分 类 号：F124.7[经济管理—世界经济]