收入增长、消费结构升级与产品有效供给  

Income Growth,Consumption Structure Upgrading and Effective Supply of Products

作　　者：范叙春[1,2] FAN Xuchun(Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200050 Jiaxing University, Jiaxing 314001)

机构地区：[1]上海交通大学 [2]嘉兴学院

出　　处：《经济与管理研究》2016年第5期16-24,共9页Research on Economics and Management

基　　金：浙江省自然科学基金项目"消费结构动态演进的机理分析--模型构建及中国实证"(LY16G030026);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目"人口红利消失对中国经济潜在增长率的影响研究"(15YJC790016)

摘　　要：结合消费需求转型升级的宏观背景,本文研究了中国居民消费结构升级的决定机制及如何实现产品的有效供给问题。研究发现:除医疗保健、交通与通信外,各商品的价格增长都会显著提高其消费支出占总消费的份额;食品价格增速过快是抑制中国消费结构升级的重要原因;除教育外,收入增长对其他六类消费结构的升级都存在显著的门槛效应,且食品、衣着和居住等物质型消费的门槛值要低,而交通与通信、医疗保健、家庭设备用品及服务等服务型消费的门槛值要相对更高。将消费与生产联系起来,本文探讨了如何有针对性地提供适时、适地和合乎收入水平的产品供给,并从四个方面提出了相应的政策建议。Based on the background of the transformation and upgrading of consumer demand, this paper studies the decision mechanism of the dynamic evolution of the consumption structure and how to realize the effective supply of the product in China. It is found that the prices of most commodities have significant impacts on the evolution of their consumption structure except for health care, transportation and communication. The growth of food price is an important factor that inhibits the upgrading of China＇s consumption effect on the structural evolution of other six kinds of structure. And the growth of income has a significant threshold consumption except for education, and the threshold values of traditional material consumption such as food, clothing and residential service are low, while transportation and communication, medical care, equipment, service, etc., are higher. After combining consumption and production, this paper discusses how to provide timely, appropriate and suitable products. Finally, this paper puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations from four aspects

关 键 词：消费结构 门槛模型 有效供给 近乎理想需求系统 

分 类 号：F126.1[经济管理—世界经济]