固定资产投资对我国经济增长影响  

Influence of Fixed Assets Investment on Economic Growth

作　　者：毕慧丽[1] 王庆学[2] 赵胜利[1] BI Hui-li WANG Qing-xue ZHAO Sheng-li(School of Statistics, Qufu Normal University, 273165, Qufu, Shandong School of Mathematics and Statistics, Shandong University, Weihai, 264209, Weihai, Shandong, PRC)

机构地区：[1]曲阜师范大学统计学院,曲阜市273165 [2]山东大学威海分校数学与统计学院,山东省威海市264209

出　　处：《曲阜师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2017年第3期25-30,共6页Journal of Qufu Normal University(Natural Science)

摘　　要：主要侧重于固定资产投资对经济增长影响的实证分析,首先对固定资产投资与三大产业增加值进行了典型相关分析,得出对经济增长影响力最大的投资资金来源为自筹资金,国家预算内资金和利用外资对经济的促进作用有较大的上升空间.然后对数据进行了计量分析,通过单位根检验、协整检验构造出固定资产投资与GDP之间的回归模型,通过Granger因果检验得出我国固定资产投资额的变动与经济增长存在双向格兰杰因果关系,并构建了误差修正模型来研究其短期波动特征.最后总结了该文的研究结论,并为我国的经济发展提出了建议.This article mainly focuses on the empirical analysis of the impact of fixed assets investment （FAD on economic growth.We first use canonical correlation analysis to analyze FAI and the value added of the three major industries.We point out that the most influential source of capital investment on eco- nomic growth is self-financing.The promoting effect of the state budget funds and utilization of foreign cap- ital on the economy has a larger rising space.Then,we carry out the quantitative analysis on the data and build the regression model between FAI and GDP by unit root test and cointegration test.We conclude that there exists a two-way Granger causality relationship between the amount of change of FAI and economic growth in China by the Granger causality test.We also build the error correction model to study character- istics of short-term economic fluctuations.Finally,we summarize the research conclusions of this study and make recommendations for Chinese economic growth.

关 键 词：固定资产投资 典型相关分析 协整检验 误差修正模型 格兰杰因果检验 

分 类 号：C811[社会学—统计学]