技术选择对中国省域经济发展的影响研究——基于空间滞后误差自相关面板数据模型  

Research on the Effect of Technique Choice on Chinese Provincial Economic Development:Based on Spatial Autoregressive Model with Autoregressive Disturbances Panel Data Model

作　　者：陈燕武[1] 张绿原[1] 

机构地区：[1]华侨大学数量经济研究院

出　　处：《华侨大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2017年第3期71-80,共10页Journal of Huaqiao University(Philosophy & Social Sciences)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点资助项目(16AJL004)

摘　　要：基于1995-2015年全国31个省份的面板数据,通过计算Moran’s I指数发现了各省的经济发展及技术选择存在显著的空间相关性。构建同时包含空间滞后与空间误差的空间面板模型,对我国经济增长、技术选择指数和全国人均劳动产出间的关系进行研究。研究发现:各省经济发展水平与技术选择指数在空间聚集上表现出两级分化特征,东部省份倾向于高值聚集而中部省份多为低值聚集;技术选择指数总体上对各省的经济发展具有显著的正向作用,对资本水平适中的中部省份的经济促进作用强于东部与西部地区,而西部地区的技术选择具有显著的空间溢出效应。技术选择对经济发展的不同时段的影响也有所差异。The significant spatial correlations of economic development and technique choice of provinces are found through calculating the Moran's I index using the panel data of 31 provinces of China from 1995 to 2015. The relationships between economic growth,technique choice index and the per-capita labor output are discussed through constructing the spatial panel models containing both spatial lag and spatial error. The research shows that there is the polarization characteristics of spatial aggregation in the level of economic development and technique choice index. The most of the eastern provinces locate in high-high agglomeration regions while the central provinces in low-low agglomeration regions. Generally speaking,the technique choice index has a significant positive effect on the economic development of each province. The economic promotion effects on the central provinces with moderate capital level are stronger than that of the eastern and western regions,while the technique choice in western areas has a significant spatial spillover effect. The effects of technique choice on economic growth are different in different periods.

关 键 词：技术选择 经济增长 空间面板模型 空间聚集 

分 类 号：F062.4[经济管理—政治经济学] F127