英国体育产业发展与经济增长关系的实证研究  

Empirical Research on the Relationship Between Sports Industry Development and Economic Growth in Britain

作　　者：郑丽[1] 王玉珠[2] 

机构地区：[1]重庆师范大学体育学院,重庆401331 [2]聊城大学,山东聊城252059

出　　处：《首都体育学院学报》2017年第4期292-295,共4页Journal of Capital University of Physical Education and Sports

基　　金：重庆市教育委员会人文社会科学研究项目(14SKE05);重庆市体育局科研项目(B201420)

摘　　要：为了从理论角度探讨英国体育产业发展与国民经济增长的内在作用机制,采用协整关系检验、误差修正模型估计、格兰杰因果关系验证等计量方法,对英国体育产业发展与经济增长之间的长期均衡关系和短期动态关联进行实证分析。结果表明:样本期内英国体育产业发展和经济增长的水平时间序列是平稳的,英国体育产业发展与经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系,英国体育产业发展每提升1%,将带动本国经济总量水平上升0.83%。英国体育产业发展对经济增长的短期拉动效应不可忽视,且英国良好的社会经济发展环境也为进一步提高体育产业产值创造了条件,两者间存在比较显著的双向因果联动关系,即短时期内英国体育产业发展与经济增长间已经形成了相互促进、彼此带动、共同制约的作用机制。In order to explore the internal mechanism of the development of British sports industry and national economic growth from the theoretical point of view, the present research has, using econometric methods including cointegration test, error correction model estimation, granger causality test and so on, conducted an empirical analysis on the long-term equilibrium relation and short-term dynamic relationship of sports industry development and national economy in British. The results showthat： the level of time series of the British sports industry development and economic growth is stable in the sample period; there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the British sports industry development and the national economy growth; every increase of 1% British sports industry will drive the national economy total quantity levels increased by 0.8306%. The short pull effect of sports industry development on economic growth cannot be belittled, while the good environment of social and economic development and also create the conditions for further improving the sports industry. There is a significant two-way causal relationship between the two sides, which means a mutually promotive and restrictive drive mechanism has been formed between the British sports industry development and economic growth in a short period of time.

关 键 词：英国 体育产业 国民经济 长期均衡关系 短期动态关联 

分 类 号：G80-052[文化科学—运动人体科学]