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机构地区:[1]厦门大学南洋研究院 [2]广西社会科学院东南亚研究所 [3]广西社会科学院台湾研究中心
出 处:《东南亚纵横》2017年第3期16-23,共8页Crossroads:Southeast Asian Studies
摘 要:本文主要阐述缅甸民盟政府执政周年来采取的主要经济措施、成效评估以及中国与缅甸经济合作成效及未来发展趋势。民盟执政周年来,采取的经济措施有限,经济仍然萎靡,贸易逆差进一步扩大;货币贬值与通货膨胀严重;经济基础薄弱,投资环境仍然较差;基础设施未有大的改善;行政效率、管理效率低下;引进外资额下降。一年来,中缅贸易合作呈放缓趋势;投资合作重回快速发展态势;国际产能合作稳步推进;农业合作不断深化。未来,中缅经济合作将呈现贸易与投资增长迅速,逐步构造双赢合作模式;边境经济合作将实现大发展;国际产能合作将进一步加强;产业合作重点领域将日益明确等趋势。This paper mainly introduces the major economic measures and effectiveness evaluation of the NLD government as well as the achievements of joint cooperation between China and Myanmar and the future development trend. This paper believes that after the NLD Government came to the power for a year,it took limited measures for economic control ,thus,the economy is still weak ,and the trade deficit has been further expanded;meanwhile,the currency deficiency and inflation rate are in the serious situation, weak economy also caused the weak economic base, therefore ,the investment situation also has to face the difficulties ;the infrastructure still hasn't been improved,low administrative efficiency and management efficiency also exited, and the total volume of foreign capital has decreased. Over a year, the trade cooperation between China and Myanmar has been slowed down, but the investment cooperation begins to increase;international industrial capacity cooperation also has been promoted steadily,and the agriculture cooperation has been continually expanded. In the future, the economic cooperation between China and Myanmar has shown a rapid growth not only in trade but also investment,and will gradually form a win-win cooperation mode; moreover,the border economic cooperation will reach a great development;the international industrial capacity cooperation will also be strengthened; and the industrial cooperation in major areas will be more cleared.
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