供给侧改革视角下我国经济增长与失业关系研究  被引量:1

Research on the Relationship between Economic Growth and Unemployment in China from the Perspective of Supply-side Reform

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作  者:杨丽君[1,2] 

机构地区:[1]东南大学经济管理学院,江苏南京211189 [2]黄河科技学院,河南郑州450000

出  处:《当代经济管理》2017年第8期6-11,共6页Contemporary Economic Management

基  金:国家社会科学基金青年项目<实施自由贸易区战略背景下国际经济波动影响我国经济增长的理论与对策研究>(14CJL020)

摘  要:研究我国的经济增长与失业之间的关系,对我国全面推进供给侧改革,实现经济增长与充分就业两大国家宏观调控目标,有一定的理论价值和现实意义。对相关文献进行梳理后的理论机理分析表明经济增长与失业之间存在多种相关性,且是间接联动。通过1978~2014年我国经济增长率与失业率之间的联动关系进行实证分析,得出结论:两者之间长期负相关,说明我国经济增长对充分就业有一定拉动作用,但拉动程度不大,可通过提高劳动力的边际报酬增强拉动程度。促进失业劳动力再就业降低转型过程中经济增长带来的负效应,这一点极为重要,避免重现我国20世纪90年代经济结构调整下的经济增长与高失业率并存的局面。在市场失灵的领域,政府良好的制度供给,有助于同时实现经济增长与充分就业。Study of the relationship between China's economic growth and unemployment is of certain theoretical value and practical significance in comprehensively promoting the supply-side reform and achieving economic growth and full employment, which are the two main goals of the national macroeconomic regulation and control. After sorting out the relevant literature, the theoretical analysis shows that there are many kinds of correlations between economic growth and unemployment, and they are indirect linkages. We make an empirical analysis of the linkage relationship between economic growth rate and the unemployment rate from 1978 to 2014 in China, and then draw the conclusion that for a long period, it's a negative correlation indicating that China's economic growth stimulates the full employment, but only to a small extent, we can enhance the stimulation degree by raising the marginal reward of labor. Promoting re-employment of the unemployed workforce and reducing negative effect in the process of economic growth and transition is very important. We need to avoid reproducing the situation in China in the 90's of the 20 th century, when economic growth and high unemployment rate were coexistent during the process of economic structure adjustment. In the field of market failure, the government should provide a good system of supply, which will help to achieve economic growth and full employment at the same time.

关 键 词:供给侧改革 经济增长 失业 边际报酬 劳动力再就业 

分 类 号:F124.1[经济管理—世界经济]

 

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