山区中小城市交通驱动旅游发展及其关联性  

Association of Traffic-Driving Tourism Development of Small-Medium Cities in Mountain District

作　　者：周晓琴[1] 明庆忠[2] 李美婷[1] 

机构地区：[1]中共云南省委党校,中国云南昆明650111 [2]云南财经大学,中国云南昆明650021

出　　处：《经济地理》2017年第7期216-224,共9页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41671147;41361037)

摘　　要：以湖北省麻城市为案例点,通过SPSS分析其交通与旅游的关联性,并采用格兰杰(Granger)因果关系检验模型来分析交通与旅游的因果关系,揭示了山区中小城市交通驱动旅游发展的作用过程、机理、规律等。分析结果表明:交通与旅游发展存在显著相关;LNJR到LNLR、LNLS到LNJR以及LNJL到LNLS之间在10%显著性水平下存在单向因果关系。在各个滞后阶段期,交通运输量都是旅游人次增加的原因,交通通达度增加是旅游收入增加的原因。交通对山区中小城市旅游发展发展有驱动作用。进而对山区中小城市发挥其交通驱动优势驱动旅游发展提出了增强交通通达度和多种交通形式的配置度、加强旅游配套设施建设、优化旅游产品开发、强化"线—带营销"等建议。Taking Macheng of Hubei as an research case, this paper discussed the association of traffic driving tourism development with the SPSS method, then studied the causal relationship between traffic and tourism by Granger Causality Test, revealed the process, the mechanism and the law of action of small-medium cities in Mountain district. The results showed that there were significant correlations with traffic and tourism. There was a one-way causal relation with less than 10% significance level from LNJR to LNLR, from LNLS to LNJR and from LNJL to LNLS. Furthermore, the increase of transport accessibility caused the tourism trips grows at each phase and the increase of traffic miles caused the tourism revenue grows, so traffic had a driving effective to tourism development of small-medium cities in Mountain district. And suggestions are raised that taking advantage of traffic strengths of small-medium cities in Mountain district during the process of tourism, such as traffic accessibility and the coordination degree of traffic, strengthening of construction in corollary facilities, optimizing of tourism products development and intensifying of tourism marketing for line-strip.

关 键 词：山区中小城市 交通与旅游相关性 格兰杰因果检验 驱动作用 麻城市 

分 类 号：F59[经济管理—旅游管理]