四川省区域经济发展与水安全时空格局的耦合研究  

Investigation on the Spatial-temporal Coupling of Regional Economic Development and Water Security in Sichuan Province

作　　者：闻豪[1] 倪福全[1] 邓玉[1] 肖洪敏 王珊[1] 

机构地区：[1]四川农业大学水利水电学院,四川雅安625014

出　　处：《华北水利水电大学学报（自然科学版）》2017年第4期33-42,共10页Journal of North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power：Natural Science Edition

基　　金：国际科技合作项目(2012DFG91520-3);四川省教育厅"农村水安全"四川省高等学校工程研究中心项目

摘　　要：为探究区域经济发展与水安全的关系,基于水贫困指数WPI计算模型,从四川省21个市(州)2006—2013年收入水平In、支出水平Ex、受教育水平Ed、健康水平He、发展环境DE、家庭与就业FE等6方面和水资源禀赋R、供水设施A、水资源管理能力WC、水资源利用水平U、生态环境E等5方面,构建了适用于市(州)间进行对比分析的经济发展和水安全的评价指标体系,利用均衡赋值法WAMM为各个指标赋予权重,对2006—2013年8 a间各市(州)的经济发展指数EDI及水安全指数WSI进行定量分析与评价,并根据其排名评价结果对经济发展与水安全的耦合度C、耦合协调度D进行计算和时空特征分析。该分析结果能够反映四川省区域经济发展与水安全的实际状况,显示出大多数市(州)的经济发展与水安全存在较高程度的耦合关系,总体上表现为沿川东北经济区、川南经济区、攀西经济区、川西北生态经济区向成都平原经济区方向水安全状况逐渐变好,得出四川省经济发展与水安全为共生关系,在扶贫政策中应增加水安全的策略,从强化水安全意识、提升高效用水能力、科学优化配置水资源、提高水利用保障率、严格水资源管理、调控产业结构及生产模式、系统管控水安全风险、提升水管理能力、加大政府财政投入、积极推进水权改革、增强水利扶贫力度、助推扶贫攻坚等方面提出政策建议。In the paper, in order to explore the relationship between regional economic development and water security, based on the Water Poverty Index （WPI） calculation model, from the six sides of level of annual income In, level of expenditure Ex, level of education Ed, level of health He, development of environment DE, family and employment FE, and the five sides of water resources amount R, water supply facilities A, water resources management capacity Wc , level of water use U, ecological environment E of 21cities or states in Sichuan Province from 2006 to 2013, the evaluation index system of economic development and water security was constructed, and the model can be applied to do comparative analysis among cities or states. Using Weighted Arithmetic Mean Method （WAMM） to give weight to each index, the Economic Development Indexes （EDI） and Water Security Indexes （WSI） of each city or state from 2006 to 2013 were quantitatively analyzed and evaluated. According to the evaluation results, the coupling degree and cou- pling coordination degree of economic development and water security were computed and analyzed under the spatial-temporal scale. The analytical results can reflect the actual situation of economic development and water security in Sichuan Province, the coupling relation for most cities or states lies at a higher level, the overall performance is that the situation gradually grows better from the Northeast Economic Zone in Sichuan, Southern Economic Zone in Sichuan, West Economic Zone in Panzhihua, Northwest Ecological Economic Zone in Sichuan to the economic zone of Chengdu Plain, which show that the relationship between the economic development and water security of Sichuan Province is symbiotic, the strategies of water security should add in the policies of poverty alleviation, and some policy advices were put forward from the sides of strengthening water security awareness, enhancing the ability of water use effi- ciency, scientifically allocating water resources, improving the guara

关 键 词：水贫困评价 经济贫困评价 协调度 耦合协调度 时空耦合关系 四川省 地理信息系统 

分 类 号：TV213.4[水利工程—水文学及水资源]