中国饲料粮消费问题探析  

Feed Grain Consumed From 1984 to 2013 in China

作　　者：冉娟[1,2] 孙振[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京100081 [2]新疆农业职业技术学院,新疆昌吉831100

出　　处：《中国农学通报》2017年第17期153-158,共6页Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin

基　　金：中国农业科学院科技创新工程"粮食与畜牧经济创新团队"(ASTIP-IAED-2015-01)

摘　　要：为了准确分析中国当前饲料粮供需情况及影响因素,首先通过供给法计算出1984—2013年的狭义饲料粮可供给数据,其次通过需求法计算中国饲料粮消费数据。推算得出饲料粮供需数据虽有差距但都呈增长趋势。中国粮食政策加剧了饲料粮供需失衡状况。因此提出相应政策建议:一是适当增加肉类产品进口并严厉打击走私;二是粮食政策在确保主粮(大米和小麦)基本自给基础上,适度进口饲料粮(主要是玉米),并在海关政策制订上将精饲料原料通盘考虑,制订考虑替代品如大麦、高粱、DDGS等在内的一揽子关税与配额政策。To accurately analyze the demand and supply of feed grain in China, we respectively caleulated the amount of feed grain that was supplied and consumed from 1984 to 2013. The results showed that both the supply and demand of feed grain showed an increasing trend. But there were differences in their amounts. Current policies might not be suitable for the balance between supply and demand of feed grain. Thus we put forward suggestions to deal with this problem. Firstly, more meat products should be imported and smuggling should be strictly cracked down. Secondly, feed grain （mainly corn） eould be imported moderately, and the tariff and quota should be considered for all feed grain and products, such as barley, sorghum and DDGS, which might replace corn.

关 键 词：饲料粮 中国 消费 供给 

分 类 号：F326[经济管理—产业经济]