中美双边贸易差额再测算及其驱动因素研究——属地与属权融合视角  

A Recount and Driving Force Decomposition of Sino-U. S. Bilateral Trade Balance Based on the Amalgamation of Perspectives of Residence and Ownership

作　　者：陈东阳[1] 张宏[1] 

机构地区：[1]山东大学经济学院

出　　处：《亚太经济》2017年第4期54-63,共10页Asia-Pacific Economic Review

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目"我国战略资产获取型对外直接投资与产业竞争优势升级研究"(项目编号:14BGJ043)

摘　　要：以增加值贸易方法为基础,通过属地和属权贸易融合的统计视角,重新估算中国对美国的出口顺差。通过结构分解技术发现中美需求规模的扩张、技术进步偏向性的差异和跨国关联的加强是中美贸易顺差持续存在的主要驱动因素。对于中美贸易顺差,中国并不具备充分的主动性和积极性,美国自身因素也对中美贸易顺差的存在及持续施加了主动的影响,中美贸易顺差更多体现的是在全球价值链上的分工协作,而不是国际贸易上的竞争对抗。Based on the decomposition of value added in export,using the amalgamation of perspectives of residence and ownership,the surplus of sino-U. S. bilateral trade is recounted,there is a significant decline in the value of the surplus after recounting. However,trade surplus still exist after recount. U sing the structural decomposition technology,the scale expansion of final demand,the difference in the direction of technology progress,the enhance of transnational relevancy are the main driving force of the exist and persistence. The essence of the Sino-U. S. trade surplus is more of cooperation in global value chain specialization rather than competence and conflict in international trade.

关 键 词：中美贸易差额 出口增加值分解 属权贸易 结构分解技术 

分 类 号：F754[经济管理—国际贸易]