气象要素对南京市呼吸系统疾病的影响研究  

Impact of meteorological factors on respiratory diseases in Nanjing

作　　者：李娟 张志薇 于庚康 周连[2] 陈晓东[2] 

机构地区：[1]江苏省气象服务中心,南京210008 [2]江苏省疾病预防控制中心,南京210009

出　　处：《气象科学》2017年第3期409-415,共7页Journal of the Meteorological Sciences

基　　金：江苏省气象科研开放基金资助项目(KZ201506);国家自然科学青年基金资助项目(41305105)

摘　　要：利用2007—2012年南京市逐日气象资料和同期某三甲医院呼吸系统疾病逐日急诊和门诊就诊人数资料,采用常规统计方法,分析了主要气象要素与疾病就诊人数的关系,揭示了气象条件对人群呼吸系统疾病的影响程度,为当地居民防病养生提供气象指导。结果表明:呼吸系统疾病发病与气象要素之间存在1~2 d的滞后效应,且与日平均气温、日最高气温和日最低气温的相关最显著,尤其当平均气温低于0℃时,全人群就诊人数明显增加;此外,当寒潮过程发生时,全人群和老年人(>65岁)就诊人数增加率分别为35%和53%,且表现出1 d的滞后性;与之相比,儿童(<6岁)就诊人数没有表现出滞后效应,寒潮结束当日,就诊人数增加了2倍以上。Based on the daily meteorological data and daily respiratory system diseases data of Nan- jing from 2007 to 2012, the relationship between numbers of patients and meteorological factors was ana- lyzed to reveal the influences of meteorological conditions on respiratory system diseases by using the con- ventional statistic methods, which provide meteorological guidance of living and working for the local resi- dents. Results show that a 1-2 days lagging effect between respiratory system diseases and meteorological factors, especially the factors of daily average temperature, daily maximum temperature and daily mini- mum temperature. The total number of patients increase significantly when the average temperature is be- low 0 ℃. The number of patients among the whole population and the elderly （ 〉65 years） significantly increase while the cold events occurs with the increasing rate of 35% and 53% and has a one-day lagging. However, the number of child patients （ 〈6 years） has no lagging and increases by more than two times.

关 键 词：气象要素 低温事件 呼吸系统疾病 老年人 儿童 

分 类 号：P49[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]